Danubio vs Racing Montevideo
Match events
- 38'Emiliano Velazquez
- 46'Emiliano Velazquez (T. Cavanagh)
- 56'M. Brasil
- 57'M. Ferreira
- 62'H. Silveira (S. Fernández)
- 62'M. Ferreira (John Kleber)
- 67'R. Gadea (N. Sosa)
- 67'T. Habib (T. Fernandez)
- 73'J. Trasante (J. Millan)
- 73'F. Gonzalez (E. Bentancor)
- 76'A. Vazquez
- 79'T. Fernandez
- 81'I. Rossi (A. Montana)
- 90+1'Agustin De la Cuesta
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests a challenging match for Danubio, who remain winless in their last five games and are positioned in the relegation zone. Racing Montevideo, on the other hand, has shown resilience with only one loss in their recent matches and a stronger league standing. Historically, Racing has held an edge in their last encounters, with Danubio managing just one victory in five meetings. The scoring averages indicate that while Danubio can score, they also concede nearly as much, favoring Racing for a potential away win.
- Racing Montevideo unbeaten in last 3 matches against Danubio
- Danubio has only 1 win in last 5 matches
- Racing Montevideo ranks 5th while Danubio is in the relegation zone
- Danubio averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Racing Montevideo
- Higher league positionRacing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo sit 7 places above Danubio in the table.
#1 vs #8 - Sharper attackDanubio
Danubio are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Tighter defenseDanubio
Danubio are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Racing Montevideo at 42% — final result was a draw, Danubio 0-0 Racing Montevideo.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Danubio have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Racing Montevideo have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Danubio
Racing MontevideoRacing MontevideoDanubioRacing MontevideoDanubioRacing MontevideoDanubioDanubioRacing MontevideoRacing MontevideoDanubioRacing MontevideoDanubioDanubioRacing MontevideoOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 | LDDD |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 31 | DWDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Burgos
Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
More Primera División predictions
Wanderers
Central Espanol
ProgresoDanubio
Boston River
Cerro
Juventud
Deportivo MaldonadoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Danubio vs Racing Montevideo?+
Our AI model favors Racing Montevideo to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 31%, Danubio 27%).
What time does Danubio vs Racing Montevideo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).