Defensa Y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 4
LLDWGoals 8-144th in league
WLWWGoals 9-166th in league
Home2W 1D 0L(5-3)
Away0W 0D 2L(1-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'A. Hausch (Domingo Blanco)
  2. 31'J. Russo
  3. 32'César Pérez
  4. 32'Fernando Román
  5. 40'J. Russo
  6. 45+1'Ayrton Portillo
  7. 46'César Pérez
  8. 46'T. Rios (M. Luciano)
  9. 66'Domingo Blanco (Jeremías Lucco)
  10. 67'Leandro Fernández (Tomás Pérez)
  11. 67'Ayrton Portillo (Valentín Loza)
  12. 68'Tomás Pérez
  13. 71'J. Gomez (R. Herrera)
  14. 71'F. Guch (Mateo García)
  15. 71'I. Ramírez (F. Scarpeccio)
  16. 82'David Barbona (Maximiliano Porcel)
  17. 83'Bruno Cabrera
  18. 87'M. Ortega (Franco Escobar)
  19. 90+2'Fernando Román

Lineups

Defensa Y JusticiaNewells Old Boys
0.8
Goals/game
0.9
1.4
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Defensa Y Justicia win
46.44%
Draw
30.67%
Newells Old Boys win
22.89%
47.8%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
31.7%Defensa Y Justicia clean sheet
30.1%Newells Old Boys clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a tightly contested match, with both teams struggling for form. Defensa Y Justicia, despite playing at home, has a poor record of 1 win in their last 5 games, while Newells Old Boys displays slightly better form with a recent away victory. Historical head-to-head results indicate that neither side has a clear advantage, often resulting in close games, which may lead to a low-scoring draw.

  • Defensa Y Justicia has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Newells Old Boys has a negative goal difference of -12 over the season.
  • Head-to-head record shows a competitive balance with both teams having similar recent outcomes.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Defensa Y Justicia at 46.44% — final result was Defensa Y Justicia win, Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 Newells Old Boys.

Predicted score was 1-1.

Closing odds vs. our model

Defensa Y Justicia2.04market 49% · model 46.44%
Draw3.04market 32.9% · model 30.67%
Newells Old Boys4.07market 24.5% · model 22.89%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Defensa Y Justicia have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Newells Old Boys have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Defensa Y Justicia wins
1Draws
3Newells Old Boys wins
7-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Defensa Y Justicia2.04best 2.30
Draw3.04best 3.25
Newells Old Boys4.07best 4.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.50best 2.60
Under 2.51.51best 1.55

Both teams to score

Yes2.10best 2.17
No1.66best 1.68

Double chance

Defensa Y Justicia/Draw1.23best 1.30
Defensa Y Justicia/Newells Old Boys1.34best 1.40
Draw/Newells Old Boys1.74best 1.87

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.29best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.35best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.61best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Defensa Y Justicia2.04 0.08
Draw3.04 0.04
Newells Old Boys4.07 0.32
9 Aug9 Aug

Model vs market

Defensa Y Justicia win+0.3pp
AI
46.44%
Market
46.1%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
30.67%
Market
30.9%
Newells Old Boys win-0.2pp
AI
22.89%
Market
23.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Defensa Y Justicia
6321011DWLW
6
Newells Old Boys
6312+210WLDL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game0.9
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Defensa Y Justicia

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Newells Old Boys

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
50%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Defensa Y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys?+

Our AI model favors Defensa Y Justicia to win, with a 46.44% probability (Draw 30.67%, Newells Old Boys 22.89%).

What time does Defensa Y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 9, 2026, 8:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).