Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg

Allsvenskan· Regular Season - 17
WWWLGoals 19-1114th in league
WWDDGoals 13-912th in league
Home2W 2D 5L(9-14)
Away2W 2D 5L(11-27)
Stora Valla

Stora Valla, Degerfors · Capacity 12,500 · grass · Referee: K. Karlsson

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'D. Vukojevic (M. Igonen)
  2. 25'D. Vukojevic (R. Dzabic)
  3. 30'S. Diatara (N. Skuseth)
  4. 46'Sebastian Clemmensen (A. Boren)
  5. 46'Tobias Heintz (David Kruse)
  6. 46'Noah Tolf (I. Seidu)
  7. 59'A. Taranis (K. Boutera)
  8. 59'S. Ohlsson (Daniel Sundgren)
  9. 66'A. Bergmark-Wiberg (Tiago Coimbra)
  10. 70'K. Boutera
  11. 72'E. Barsoum (L. Fritzson)
  12. 72'R. Dzabic (G. Yiriyon)
  13. 77'K. Karlsson
  14. 80'K. Thordarson (Filip Ottosson)
  15. 85'D. Vukojevic (S. Ohlsson)

Lineups

Degerfors IFIFK Goteborg
1.9
Goals/game
1.3
1.1
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Degerfors IF win
30%
Draw
29%
IFK Goteborg win
41%
52.6%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
30.1%Degerfors IF clean sheet
24.7%IFK Goteborg clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers suggest that IFK Goteborg may have an advantage heading into this match, particularly given their stronger recent form and historical success over Degerfors IF. With Degerfors struggling at home and Goteborg maintaining a better scoring average, the away team might be poised for a victory.

  • Degerfors IF has lost 5 of their last 6 matches, indicating poor form.
  • IFK Goteborg has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding only 0.9 in their last 10 matches, suggesting strong defensive capabilities.
  • Historically, IFK Goteborg has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Degerfors IF, highlighting a favorable matchup.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors IFK Goteborg

  • Historical edgeIFK Goteborg

    IFK Goteborg have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionIFK Goteborg

    IFK Goteborg sit 2 places above Degerfors IF in the table.

    #12 vs #14
  • Good recent formDegerfors IF

    Degerfors IF have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Strong recent formIFK Goteborg

    IFK Goteborg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.

    2W 3D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked IFK Goteborg at 41% — final result was Degerfors IF win, Degerfors IF 3-0 IFK Goteborg.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

IFK Goteborg2.28market 43.9% · model 41%
Degerfors IF2.98market 33.5% · model 30%
Draw3.29market 30.4% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Degerfors IF have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • IFK Goteborg have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Degerfors IF wins
0Draws
6IFK Goteborg wins
8-20Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Degerfors IF2.98best 3.19
Draw3.29best 3.50
IFK Goteborg2.28best 2.36

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87best 1.91
Under 2.51.90best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.66best 1.70
No2.09best 2.15

Double chance

Degerfors IF/Draw1.57best 1.65
Degerfors IF/IFK Goteborg1.30best 1.33
Draw/IFK Goteborg1.36best 1.40

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Degerfors IF2.98 0.11
Draw3.29 0.03
IFK Goteborg2.28 0.02
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Degerfors IF win-1.1pp
AI
30%
Market
31.1%
Draw+0.8pp
AI
29%
Market
28.2%
IFK Goteborg win+0.3pp
AI
41%
Market
40.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Degerfors IF
184410-1216WWLL
12
IFK Goteborg
18558-1620LWWL

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

K. Karlsson

4.43Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.43Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Degerfors IF

0-15'
50%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

IFK Goteborg

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

More Allsvenskan predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg?+

Our AI model favors IFK Goteborg to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 29%, Degerfors IF 30%).

Where is Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg played?+

The match is played at Stora Valla, Degerfors (capacity 12,500).

What time does Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).