Delfin SC vs Aucas
Estadio Jocay, Manta · Capacity 17,834 · grass · Referee: G. Gonzalez
Match events
- 36'Goal Disallowed - offside — Franco Ayunta
- 37'Franco Ayunta (D. Luna)
- 40'S. Morales
- 46'M. Vera (M. A. Carcelen Carabali)
- 46'B. Oyola (B. Carabali)
- 53'M. A. Carcelen Carabali
- 59'R. Monti (R. Bolanos)
- 64'Thiago Ozaeta (Jefferson Arce)
- 67'Anthony Bedoya Caicedo
- 67'P. Guzman (A. Mena)
- 72'A. Garcia (S. Tapiero)
- 75'Gerónimo Heredia (E. Espinoza)
- 75'Kevin Ushiña (Eber Caicedo)
- 75'D. Luna (B. Pena)
- 78'Erick Zúñiga
- 80'Jonathan Morocho
- 87'Jonathan Morocho (L. Castro)
- 0.6
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 0-1
The data suggests that Aucas has a strong historical edge over Delfin SC, having won all their last five encounters. Delfin SC's recent form is concerning, with only one victory in their last five, which may hinder their chances against an Aucas side that has been more prolific in front of goal.
- Aucas unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matchups against Delfin SC.
- Delfin SC has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Aucas averages 2.1 goals scored over their last 10 matches while Delfin SC only averages 0.6.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Aucas
- Historical edgeAucas
Aucas have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionAucas
Aucas sit 13 places above Delfin SC in the table.
#2 vs #15 - Sharper attackAucas
Aucas are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Tighter defenseAucas
Aucas are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Aucas at 41% — final result was Aucas win, Delfin SC 0-1 Aucas.
Predicted score was 0-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Delfin SC have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Aucas have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Delfin SC
AucasAucasDelfin SCAucasDelfin SCDelfin SCAucasAucasDelfin SCDelfin SCAucasAucasDelfin SCDelfin SCAucasOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
G. Gonzalez
Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Delfin SC
Aucas
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LDU de QuitoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Delfin SC vs Aucas?+
Our AI model favors Aucas to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 32%, Delfin SC 27%).
Where is Delfin SC vs Aucas played?+
The match is played at Estadio Jocay, Manta (capacity 17,834).
What time does Delfin SC vs Aucas kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 8:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).