Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC

Liga Pro· Regular Season - 26
WWLLGoals 13-1311th in league
WDWDGoals 14-79th in league
Home4W 4D 5L(14-17)
Away3W 4D 6L(18-21)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 11'Melvin Diaz
  2. 42'José Hernández
  3. 44'Carlos Arboleda
  4. 45+3'M. Klimowicz
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SC
1.3
Goals/game
1.4
1.3
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Deportivo Cuenca win
37%
Draw
30%
Mushuc Runa SC win
33%
46.8%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
25.9%Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet
36.8%Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The recent form suggests a tightly contested match, as both Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC exhibit some inconsistency. Deportivo Cuenca's recent losses may give Mushuc Runa an edge, particularly with their better performance in recent outings. Historically, their matches have been competitive, often resulting in draws or narrow margins.

  • Deportivo Cuenca has lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Mushuc Runa SC has a stronger recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 games.
  • Historically, the last 5 encounters have seen a mix of results with no consistent dominance by either team.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
70/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Deportivo Cuenca

  • Tighter defenseMushuc Runa SC

    Mushuc Runa SC are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Historical edgeDeportivo Cuenca

    Deportivo Cuenca have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Weak home recordDeportivo Cuenca

    Deportivo Cuenca have won 4 of their last 13 home matches.

    4/13 home wins
  • Weak away recordMushuc Runa SC

    Mushuc Runa SC have won 3 of their last 13 away matches.

    3/13 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Deportivo Cuenca at 37% — final result was a draw, Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 Mushuc Runa SC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Deportivo Cuenca2.34market 42.7% · model 37%
Mushuc Runa SC2.90market 34.5% · model 33%
Draw3.03market 33% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Deportivo Cuenca have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Mushuc Runa SC have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Deportivo Cuenca wins
2Draws
2Mushuc Runa SC wins
15-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Deportivo Cuenca2.34best 2.56
Draw3.03best 3.25
Mushuc Runa SC2.90best 3.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.12best 2.28
Under 2.51.64best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.83best 1.88
No1.82best 1.91

Double chance

Deportivo Cuenca/Draw1.34best 1.42
Deportivo Cuenca/Mushuc Runa SC1.30best 1.36
Draw/Mushuc Runa SC1.54best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28best 1.28

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Deportivo Cuenca2.34 0.16
Draw3.03 0.05
Mushuc Runa SC2.90 0.32
19 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Deportivo Cuenca win-1.8pp
AI
37%
Market
38.8%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
30%
Market
29.9%
Mushuc Runa SC win+1.7pp
AI
33%
Market
31.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
Deportivo Cuenca
269512-1032LLLW
9
Mushuc Runa SC
26899-233DWWL

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.4
1.3Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Deportivo Cuenca

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Mushuc Runa SC

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
16.7%

More Liga Pro predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?+

Our AI model favors Deportivo Cuenca to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 30%, Mushuc Runa SC 33%).

What time does Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).