Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco · Capacity 42,056 · grass · Referee: R. B. Perez
Match events
- 26'P. Díaz
- 34'J. Manzaneda (A. Vidal)
- 45+3'B. Da Silva (F. Castelli)
- 45+4'I. Colman
- 46'X. Moreno
- 56'F. Castelli
- 57'Carlos Diez (L. Colitto)
- 59'Á. Ampuero
- 62'Anthony Rosell (A. Ascues)
- 67'Kevin Sandoval (F. Castelli)
- 73'F. Castelli (Christopher Olivares)
- 73'A. Gonzalez (S. Ramirez)
- 77'Aldair Fuentes
- 81'J. Zevallos (C. Gamarra)
- 81'R. Lagos (Herrera Joel)
- 86'B. Da Silva (J. Mendoza)
- 89'Christopher Olivares
- 90+3'Aldair Fuentes
- 90+3'Aldair Fuentes
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso has performed well at home this season, winning both of their matches. However, Cusco's historical dominance in their recent meetings may provide them with the psychological edge despite their struggles away. The match is likely to be competitive, with both teams potentially finding the net.
- Deportivo Garcilaso unbeaten in last 5 home games
- Cusco yet to earn a point away this season
- Recent head-to-head favors Cusco with 4 wins in last 5 encounters
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Deportivo Garcilaso
- Strong home recordDeportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.
3/3 home wins - Weak away recordCusco
Cusco have won 3 of their last 9 away matches.
3/9 away wins - Historical edgeCusco
Cusco have won 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
5/6 H2H wins - Good recent formCusco
Cusco have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Deportivo Garcilaso at 35% — final result was Deportivo Garcilaso win, Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1 Cusco.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Deportivo Garcilaso have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cusco have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 | DWWW |
| 6 |  Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 27 | WLDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. B. Perez
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
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Alianza LimaDeportivo GarcilasoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?+
Our AI model favors Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a 35% probability (Draw 33%, Cusco 32%).
Where is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco played?+
The match is played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco (capacity 42,056).
What time does Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).