Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche
Match events
- 21'Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Lorenzo Amatucci)
- 27'Ximo Navarro
- 45+2'Lorenzo Amatucci
- 60'B. Nsongo (Z. Eddahchouri)
- 60'Jonathan Asp Jensen (Diego Villares)
- 60'Federico Redondo (Tete Morente)
- 60'Martim Neto (L. Cepeda)
- 63'Federico Redondo (Tete Morente)
- 68'Gonzalo Villar
- 69'Fernando Niño (Umaru Konare Tounkara)
- 71'Mario Soriano (David Mella)
- 71'Adrià Altimira (Luismi Cruz)
- 76'Marc Aguado (Gonzalo Villar)
- 81'Germán Valera (Alvaro Padilla)
- 81'A. Houary (J. Morcillo)
- 85'Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Kevin Sánchez)
- 86'Germán Valera (Alvaro Padilla)
- 86'A. Houary (J. Morcillo)
- 88'Umaru Konare Tounkara
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The analysis suggests a competitive matchup, with Deportivo La Coruna having a modest recent form yet showing a slight edge in offensive capability. Elche's poor away performance may level the playing field, and their head-to-head advantage adds further uncertainty. The predicted score reflects a likely close affair, potentially ending in a draw.
- Deportivo La Coruna has won 3 of their last 5 matches while scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game.
- Elche has not won in their last 5 matches, with a scoring average of 1.3 goals per game but conceding 1.2.
- In their last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche has won 4 times against Deportivo La Coruna.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Deportivo La Coruna
- Poor recent formElche
Elche have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackDeportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Tighter defenseDeportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded - Higher league positionDeportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna sit 7 places above Elche in the table.
#11 vs #18
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Deportivo La Coruna at 44% — final result was a draw, Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Elche.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Deportivo La Coruna have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Elche have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Deportivo La Coruna
ElcheElcheDeportivo La CorunaElcheDeportivo La CorunaDeportivo La CorunaElcheElcheDeportivo La CorunaDeportivo La CorunaElcheElcheDeportivo La CorunaDeportivo La CorunaElcheOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 18 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 | LLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Deportivo La Coruna
Elche
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Marc AguadoElche⚽ 17.9
- 2Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna⚽ 17.6
- 3Leo RománDeportivo La Coruna7.3
- 4Lorenzo AmatucciDeportivo La Coruna🅰️ 1🟨7.3
- 5David AffengruberElche7.2
- 6Mario SorianoDeportivo La Coruna7.2
Box score
Deportivo La Coruna
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Bench (12)
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Elche
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Bench (12)
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MalagaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?+
Our AI model favors Deportivo La Coruna to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 31%, Elche 25%).
What time does Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).