Deportivo Recoleta vs 2 de Mayo — Division Profesional - Clausura

Division Profesional - Clausura· Clausura - 5

Deportivo Recoleta

1–2Full-time

2 de Mayo

LDLLLWGoals 14-188th in league

DWDWWDGoals 13-112nd in league

Home1W 1D 1L(5-5)

Away1W 1D 0L(3-2)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

15'A. Espinola (Cesar Castro)
45'M. Gonzalez (Alexis Fariña)
46'A. Espinola (A. D. Aguilera)
46'K. Parzajuk (Richard Ortiz)
46'J. Espinola (A. Silva)
53'L. Monzon
61'F. Silvero (J. Sanguina)
62'Cesar Castro (Ulises Coronel)
67'B. Medina (F. Galeano)
70'M. Gonzalez (Matías Moya)
74'A. Silva
81'P. Charpentier (O. Barreto)
85'L. Mendoza (M. Schupp)
85'M. Gomez (Ángel Aguayo)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Deportivo Recoleta2 de Mayo

1.4
Goals/game: 1.3; 1.8
Conceded/game: 1.1

AI match analysis

Deportivo Recoleta win

34%

Draw

30%

2 de Mayo win

36%

56.2%BTTS

53.1%Over 2.5

21.2%Deportivo Recoleta clean sheet

28.7%2 de Mayo clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a closely contested match given both teams' standings and recent form. Deportivo Recoleta has performed well at home, but 2 de Mayo's strong ranking and ability to score may give them the edge. The head-to-head history indicates Recoleta can challenge 2 de Mayo, but the away side's recent success may see them through.

Deportivo Recoleta unbeaten at home this season (1W 1D)
2 de Mayo ranked 1st in league with better recent form (WDWW)
Deportivo Recoleta has a dominant head-to-head record against 2 de Mayo (3 wins in last 4)

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

68/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors 2 de Mayo

Weak home recordDeportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins
Strong away record2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins
Historical edgeDeportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
3/4 H2H wins
Higher league position2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo sit 6 places above Deportivo Recoleta in the table.
#2 vs #8

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked 2 de Mayo at 36% — final result was 2 de Mayo win, Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 2 de Mayo.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Deportivo Recoleta2.56market 39% · model 34%

2 de Mayo ✓2.67market 37.5% · model 36%

Draw3.10market 32.2% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Deportivo Recoleta have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
2 de Mayo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 0 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Deportivo Recoleta wins

0Draws

12 de Mayo wins

8-2Goals

2 de Mayo

0–2Nov 21, 2025, 10:30 PM

Deportivo Recoleta

2–0Aug 30, 2025, 7:00 PM

2 de Mayo

0–4Apr 10, 2025, 9:00 PM

Deportivo Recoleta

0–2Jan 28, 2025, 11:30 PM

2 de Mayo

Odds comparison

Match winner

Deportivo Recoleta2.56▲best 2.84

Draw3.10▲best 3.25

2 de Mayo2.67▼best 3.05

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.15▼best 2.22

Under 2.51.65▲best 1.68

Both teams to score

Yes1.84▼best 1.90

No1.84best 1.87

Double chance

Deportivo Recoleta/Draw1.41▲best 1.50

Deportivo Recoleta/2 de Mayo1.31▼best 1.36

Draw/2 de Mayo1.45▼best 1.54

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Deportivo Recoleta2.56▲ 0.07

Draw3.10▲ 0.14

2 de Mayo2.67▼ 0.03

11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Deportivo Recoleta win-1.9pp

34%

Market

35.9%

Draw+0.4pp

30%

Market

29.6%

2 de Mayo win+1.5pp

36%

Market

34.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.