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Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Cartagines

Primera División· Apertura - 4
Deportivo Saprissa
3–2Full-time
CS Cartagines
LWWLGoals 19-71st in league
DWWWGoals 20-64th in league
Home3W 0D 0L(10-4)
Away1W 0D 2L(6-5)

Value found

+3.2% edge

Draw

3.57AI fair odds
3.69Bookmaker odds
+3.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'G. M. Morera
  2. 13'J. Brenes
  3. 31'D. Lopez
  4. 34'J. Brenes
  5. 43'L. Paradela
  6. 45+3'R. Cordero
  7. 46'R. Cordero (C. Barahona)
  8. 56'A. Mora (Tepa)
  9. 56'C. Montero (M. Moran)
  10. 64'Y. Lopez
  11. 66'G. Torres (B. Hernández)
  12. 67'D. Mesen
  13. 74'D. Lopez (L. Flores)
  14. 77'B. Hernández
  15. 78'M. Moran
  16. 79'L. Paradela (O. Sinclair)
  17. 79'J. Brenes (David Guzmán)
  18. 85'N. Williams (A. Rodríguez)
  19. 85'M. Torres (M. Elizondo)
  20. 88'C. Barahona
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Deportivo SaprissaCS Cartagines
1.9
Goals/game
2.0
0.7
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

Deportivo Saprissa win
56%
Draw
28%
CS Cartagines win
16%
52.9%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
25.9%Deportivo Saprissa clean sheet
28.7%CS Cartagines clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Statistics suggest that Deportivo Saprissa is in strong form, having won all their home matches this season and maintained an unbeaten run in their last five games. In contrast, CS Cartagines has not yet secured an away victory this season, which may affect their confidence coming into this matchup. Historically, Saprissa has performed well against Cartagines in recent encounters, further favoring a home-side victory.

  • Deportivo Saprissa has won all 2 home matches this season.
  • CS Cartagines has lost 1 out of 1 away matches this season.
  • Deportivo Saprissa has a recent form of WWW, indicating strong performance.
  • Historically, Deportivo Saprissa has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against CS Cartagines.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Deportivo Saprissa

  • Strong home recordDeportivo Saprissa

    Deportivo Saprissa have won 3 of their last 3 home matches.

    3/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordCS Cartagines

    CS Cartagines have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.

    1/3 away wins
  • Good recent formDeportivo Saprissa

    Deportivo Saprissa have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Strong recent formCS Cartagines

    CS Cartagines are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Deportivo Saprissa at 56% — final result was Deportivo Saprissa win, Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 CS Cartagines.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Deportivo Saprissa ✓1.54market 64.9% · model 56%
Draw3.69market 27.1% · model 28%
CS Cartagines5.73market 17.4% · model 16%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Deportivo Saprissa have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • CS Cartagines have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Deportivo Saprissa wins
2Draws
3CS Cartagines wins
9-11Goals
CS Cartagines
2–1Mar 15, 2026, 5:00 PM
Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa
0–0Jan 26, 2026, 12:00 AM
CS Cartagines
Deportivo Saprissa
2–1Dec 14, 2025, 10:00 PM
CS Cartagines
CS Cartagines
1–2Dec 12, 2025, 2:00 AM
Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa
2–1Sep 28, 2025, 10:00 PM
CS Cartagines
CS Cartagines
3–0Aug 10, 2025, 5:00 PM
Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa
1–1Apr 27, 2025, 2:00 AM
CS Cartagines
CS Cartagines
2–1Mar 3, 2025, 12:00 AM
Deportivo Saprissa

Odds comparison

Match winner

Deportivo Saprissa1.54▼best 1.80
Draw3.69▲best 4.00
CS Cartagines5.73▲best 7.07

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87▼best 1.95
Under 2.51.86▲best 1.98

Both teams to score

Yes1.89▲best 2.00
No1.80▼best 1.95

Double chance

Deportivo Saprissa/Draw1.11▼best 1.17
Deportivo Saprissa/CS Cartagines1.21▼best 1.25
Draw/CS Cartagines2.24▲best 2.45

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67▲best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10▼best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00▲best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17▼best 1.17

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Deportivo Saprissa1.54▼ 0.23
Draw3.69▲ 0.52
CS Cartagines5.73▲ 1.24
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Deportivo Saprissa win-3.3pp
AI
56%
Market
59.3%
Draw+3.2pp
AI
28%
Market
24.8%
CS Cartagines win+0.1pp
AI
16%
Market
15.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Deportivo Saprissa
5401+712WWWW
4
CS Cartagines
5302+49LWLW

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game2
0.7Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Deportivo Saprissa

0-15'
13.3%
16-30'
6.7%
31-45'
26.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
40%
76-90+'
13.3%

CS Cartagines

0-15'
10.5%
16-30'
15.8%
31-45'
10.5%
46-60'
21.1%
61-75'
10.5%
76-90+'
31.6%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Cartagines?+

Our AI model favors Deportivo Saprissa to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 28%, CS Cartagines 16%).

What time does Deportivo Saprissa vs CS Cartagines kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).