Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC — Primera División

Primera División· Clausura - 4

Deportivo Tachira FC

3–2Full-time

Monagas SC

WWDWWLGoals 17-122nd in league

LLWWDWGoals 10-1110th in league

Home2W 1D 0L(5-2)

Away0W 0D 2L(3-5)

Unknown

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

6'A. Pérez
15'Felipe Jaramillo
30'C. Sosa
33'A. Pérez (O. Hernández)
35'R. Pollero (C. Sosa)
43'Luis Daniel Gonzalez
45+2'R. Rodriguez (R. Arace)
46'A. Romero (F. Basante)
61'J. Caraballo (J. Sanchez)
65'B. Palmezano (Adalberto Peñaranda)
66'N. Henry
67'R. Rodriguez (Edder Farias)
68'F. Queiroz (K. De La Hoz)
70'M. Maitán (K. De La Hoz)
79'J. Caraballo (P. Camacho)
80'D. Alfonzo (C. Calzadilla)
81'N. Henry (S. Natera)
85'Felipe Jaramillo (J. Mancilla)
86'V. Adamo
90'Adalberto Peñaranda (C. Calzadilla)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Deportivo Tachira FCMonagas SC

1.7
Goals/game: 1.0; 1.2
Conceded/game: 1.1

AI match analysis

Deportivo Tachira FC win

62%

Draw

23%

Monagas SC win

15%

50.3%BTTS

45.6%Over 2.5

33.3%Deportivo Tachira FC clean sheet

24.7%Monagas SC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests that Deportivo Tachira FC is in strong form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches and demonstrating solid home performance with two wins and one draw. Conversely, Monagas SC struggles with an abysmal away record, having lost all six away matches this season and conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game. The historical head-to-head advantage also favors Deportivo, indicating a likely home victory.

Deportivo Tachira FC unbeaten in last 5 matches
Monagas SC has lost all 6 away games this season
Deportivo Tachira FC averages 1.6 goals scored per game
Recent head-to-head history favors Deportivo Tachira FC heavily.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

99/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Deportivo Tachira FC

Historical edgeDeportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo Tachira FC have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins
Strong home recordDeportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo Tachira FC have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins
Weak away recordMonagas SC
Monagas SC have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins
Higher league positionDeportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo Tachira FC sit 8 places above Monagas SC in the table.
#2 vs #10

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Deportivo Tachira FC at 62% — final result was Deportivo Tachira FC win, Deportivo Tachira FC 3-2 Monagas SC.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (99/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Deportivo Tachira FC ✓1.46market 68.5% · model 62%

Draw3.87market 25.8% · model 23%

Monagas SC6.15market 16.3% · model 15%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Deportivo Tachira FC have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Monagas SC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Deportivo Tachira FC wins

1Draws

1Monagas SC wins

14-8Goals

Deportivo Tachira FC

2–1Jul 13, 2025, 11:30 PM

Monagas SC

1–4Jan 31, 2025, 12:30 AM

Deportivo Tachira FC

Monagas SC

0–0Sep 15, 2024, 9:00 PM

Deportivo Tachira FC

1–0Mar 21, 2024, 12:30 AM

Monagas SC

1–2Sep 24, 2023, 11:00 PM

Deportivo Tachira FC

1–0Feb 18, 2023, 9:15 PM

Monagas SC

3–0Jun 18, 2022, 11:15 PM

Deportivo Tachira FC

4–2May 28, 2022, 11:30 PM

Monagas SC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Deportivo Tachira FC1.46▼best 1.50

Draw3.87▲best 4.10

Monagas SC6.15▲best 6.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87▲best 1.95

Under 2.51.84▼best 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes1.98▲best 2.10

No1.72▼best 1.80

Double chance

Deportivo Tachira FC/Draw1.08▼best 1.12

Deportivo Tachira FC/Monagas SC1.19▲best 1.25

Draw/Monagas SC2.43▲best 2.57

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14▲best 1.14

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50▼best 5.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.91▼best 1.91

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.80▲best 1.80

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Deportivo Tachira FC1.46▼ 0.08

Draw3.87▲ 0.02

Monagas SC6.15▲ 0.82

14 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Deportivo Tachira FC win+0.1pp

62%

Market

61.9%

Draw-0.4pp

23%

Market

23.4%

Monagas SC win+0.3pp

15%

Market

14.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.