Dijon vs PAU
Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon · Capacity 16,098 · grass · Referee: G. Henry
Match events
- 46'Yanis Barka (T. Dong)
- 58'Giovani Versini (Hacene Benali)
- 58'A. Lefebvre (B. Leye)
- 58'T. Saettel (Lorenzo Rajot)
- 62'J. Marié (A. Lembezat)
- 62'Mickaël Barreto (S. Chouchane)
- 62'B. Leye (Lorenzo Rajot)
- 66'J. Marié (A. Lembezat)
- 67'A. Bamba
- 73'A. Ntamack (Júlio Tavares)
- 79'J. Benet (Luan Gadegbeku)
- 80'Lorenzo Rajot
- 88'Y. Aka (H. Mimoune)
- 88'Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa (Mathys Tourraine)
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Dijon may hold an advantage at home given their recent ability to score compared to PAU's defensive struggles. While PAU has experienced success in past meetings, their recent form shows a concerning trend with multiple losses. The numbers favor a competitive match, but Dijon's scoring prowess might see them edge out PAU.
- Dijon has a stronger scoring average of 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- PAU has conceded an average of 2.1 goals per game in their last 10 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- Dijon has a recent home match history that includes two wins and one draw against PAU in their last five encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Dijon
- Historical edgePAU
PAU have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
3/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionPAU
PAU sit 1 place above Dijon in the table.
#13 vs #14 - Poor recent formPAU
PAU have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L - Sharper attackDijon
Dijon are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Dijon at 43% — final result was PAU win, Dijon 0-1 PAU.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Dijon have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- PAU have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 0 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Dijon
PAU
More Ligue 2 predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Dijon vs PAU?+
Our AI model favors Dijon to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 28%, PAU 29%).
Where is Dijon vs PAU played?+
The match is played at Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon (capacity 16,098).
What time does Dijon vs PAU kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).