Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk

Cup· Regions Path - 3rd Round
WWWWGoals 18-12
LLWLGoals 9-19
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 12'M. Osipov
  2. 12'A. Yarkin (M. Osipov)
  3. 18'D. Bakay (A. Yarkin)
  4. 41'E. Perevoznikov
  5. 45+3'E. Perevoznikov
  6. 50'R. Kolmakov (M. Osipov)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Dinamo BarnaulIrtysh Omsk
1.8
Goals/game
0.9
1.2
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

Dinamo Barnaul win
39%
Draw
28%
Irtysh Omsk win
33%
54.8%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
35%Dinamo Barnaul clean sheet
15.7%Irtysh Omsk clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The statistics indicate that Dinamo Barnaul has been in stronger form recently, going unbeaten in their last four matches. In contrast, Irtysh Omsk has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.9 goals over their last ten games. Given the recent head-to-head outcomes, where Dinamo Barnaul has emerged victorious twice, the numbers suggest a narrow win for the home side.

  • Dinamo Barnaul unbeaten in last 4 matches
  • Irtysh Omsk has scored only 0.9 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • Dinamo Barnaul has a favorable recent head-to-head record against Irtysh Omsk
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
58/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Dinamo Barnaul

  • Good recent formDinamo Barnaul

    Dinamo Barnaul have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Poor recent formIrtysh Omsk

    Irtysh Omsk have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Sharper attackDinamo Barnaul

    Dinamo Barnaul are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Tighter defenseDinamo Barnaul

    Dinamo Barnaul are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Dinamo Barnaul at 39% — final result was Dinamo Barnaul win, Dinamo Barnaul 5-0 Irtysh Omsk.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (58/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dinamo Barnaul2.31market 43.3% · model 39%
Irtysh Omsk2.73market 36.6% · model 33%
Draw3.26market 30.7% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dinamo Barnaul have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Irtysh Omsk have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Dinamo Barnaul wins
0Draws
1Irtysh Omsk wins
2-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dinamo Barnaul2.31best 2.32
Draw3.26best 3.26
Irtysh Omsk2.73best 2.76

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.67best 1.67
Under 2.52.08best 2.08

Both teams to score

Yes1.53best 1.53
No2.30best 2.32

Double chance

Dinamo Barnaul/Draw1.36best 1.36
Dinamo Barnaul/Irtysh Omsk1.25best 1.25
Draw/Irtysh Omsk1.49best 1.49

Average and best price across 2 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Dinamo Barnaul2.31 0.22
Draw3.26 0.14
Irtysh Omsk2.73 0.21
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Dinamo Barnaul win-0.2pp
AI
39%
Market
39.2%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
28%
Market
27.8%
Irtysh Omsk win-0.1pp
AI
33%
Market
33.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Dinamo Barnaul

0-15'
7.1%
16-30'
7.1%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
7.1%
61-75'
21.4%
76-90+'
42.9%

Irtysh Omsk

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk?+

Our AI model favors Dinamo Barnaul to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 28%, Irtysh Omsk 33%).

What time does Dinamo Barnaul vs Irtysh Omsk kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).