Dinamo Kirov vs Amkar

Cup· Regions Path - 3rd Round
Dinamo Kirov
44After Penalties
Amkar
DWLLGoals 10-16
WWWLGoals 17-14

Value found

+80% edge

Amkar win

2.38AI fair odds
4.29Bookmaker odds
+80%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 10'B. Bilalov
  2. 45'D. Agureev
  3. 50'B. Bilalov
  4. 51'E. Tyukalov
  5. 60'N. Dorofeev
  6. 67'N. Goldobin
  7. 76'N. Kamaev
  8. 90+2'D. Agureev
  9. 120+1'D. Agureev
  10. 120+1'E. Pozdnyakov
  11. 120+2'D. Mikhaylov
  12. 120+2'N. Kamaev
  13. 120+2'D. Kumsarov
  14. 120+3'M. Ageev
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Dinamo KirovAmkar
1.0
Goals/game
1.7
1.6
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Dinamo Kirov win
24%
Draw
34%
Amkar win
42%
56.5%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
19.2%Dinamo Kirov clean sheet
30.1%Amkar clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that Amkar enters this match with a stronger recent performance, having won four of their last five, while Dinamo Kirov struggles with only one win in their recent games. Both teams exhibit similar scoring rates; however, Amkar's recent form may give them an advantage in this matchup.

  • Amkar's last 5 away matches include 4 wins and a draw
  • Dinamo Kirov's last 5 matches have resulted in just one win
  • Historically, Amkar has had a stronger recent form compared to Dinamo Kirov
  • Dinamo Kirov averages 1 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
30/100

Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Amkar

  • Poor recent formDinamo Kirov

    Dinamo Kirov have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Good recent formAmkar

    Amkar have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackAmkar

    Amkar are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseAmkar

    Amkar are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Below-average model confidence

    Overall model confidence for this match is 30/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Amkar at 42% — final result was a draw, Dinamo Kirov 4-4 Amkar.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (30/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dinamo Kirov1.74market 57.5% · model 24%
Draw3.38market 29.6% · model 34%
Amkar4.29market 23.3% · model 42%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dinamo Kirov have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Amkar have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dinamo Kirov1.74best 1.75
Draw3.38best 3.38
Amkar4.29best 4.32

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.85best 1.85
Under 2.51.85best 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.76best 1.76
No1.92best 1.94

Double chance

Dinamo Kirov/Draw1.14best 1.14
Dinamo Kirov/Amkar1.23best 1.23
Draw/Amkar1.89best 1.89

Average and best price across 2 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Dinamo Kirov win-28.1pp
AI
24%
Market
52.1%
Draw+7.2pp
AI
34%
Market
26.8%
Amkar win+20.9pp
AI
42%
Market
21.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.7
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Dinamo Kirov

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
25%

Amkar

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
0%

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dinamo Kirov vs Amkar?+

Our AI model favors Amkar to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 34%, Dinamo Kirov 24%).

What time does Dinamo Kirov vs Amkar kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).