Dinamo Samarqand vs Pakhtakor
Match events
- 45+2'A. Buriev
- 45+2'A. Amonov
- 45+3'I. Ibrokhimov
- 46'J. Abdusalomov (R. Yuldashev)
- 57'A. Khudoyberdiev (T. Avanesyan)
- 58'O. Ormonjonov
- 60'K. Erkinov
- 67'H. Hajdarević (A. Khaydarov)
- 67'A. Amonov (B. Oblakulov)
- 67'O. Ormonjonov (N. Tukhtasinov)
- 76'K. Erkinov (B. Resan)
- 76'S. Chinedu (Aymen Hussein)
- 85'F. Abdurakhmonov
- 90+2'Flamarion (D. Khamdamov)
- 90+2'I. Ibrokhimov (K. Alizhonov)
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 0.7
- Conceded/game
- 0.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests a significant advantage for Pakhtakor as they are currently second in the league and remain unbeaten in away games this season. Dinamo Samarqand's recent form shows they have struggled to secure wins, drawing four of their last five matches. Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, yet Pakhtakor's strong defense and scoring ability position them favorably in this encounter.
- Pakhtakor unbeaten in away matches this season (6W 2D)
- Dinamo Samarqand has drawn 4 of their last 5 matches
- Recent head-to-head results indicate competitiveness but favor Pakhtakor
- Pakhtakor averages 1.9 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game in last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Pakhtakor
- Weak home recordDinamo Samarqand
Dinamo Samarqand have won 3 of their last 10 home matches.
3/10 home wins - Strong away recordPakhtakor
Pakhtakor have won 6 of their last 9 away matches.
6/9 away wins - Historical edgePakhtakor
Pakhtakor have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionPakhtakor
Pakhtakor sit 6 places above Dinamo Samarqand in the table.
#2 vs #8
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Pakhtakor at 52.66% — final result was a draw, Dinamo Samarqand 1-1 Pakhtakor.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (90/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Dinamo Samarqand have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Pakhtakor have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Dinamo Samarqand
PakhtakorPakhtakorDinamo SamarqandPakhtakorDinamo SamarqandDinamo SamarqandPakhtakorPakhtakorDinamo SamarqandDinamo SamarqandPakhtakorDinamo SamarqandPakhtakorPakhtakorDinamo SamarqandOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dinamo Samarqand | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 26 | WDLD |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | +13 | 40 | DWDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Dinamo Samarqand
Pakhtakor
More Super League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Dinamo Samarqand vs Pakhtakor?+
Our AI model favors Pakhtakor to win, with a 52.66% probability (Draw 24.85%, Dinamo Samarqand 22.49%).
What time does Dinamo Samarqand vs Pakhtakor kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).