Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin

HNL· Regular Season - 4
DWWDGoals 22-81st in league
WWWWGoals 18-83rd in league
Home3W 0D 0L(9-1)
Away1W 0D 1L(5-4)
Stadion Maksimir

Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb · Capacity 37,168 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'M. Mladenovski (I. Canjuga)
  2. 45+1'N. Tepsic
  3. 45'Miha Zajc
  4. 56'Bruno Goda (Matteo Perez Vinlöf)
  5. 56'P. Tabinas (Moris Valinčić)
  6. 57'Dion Drena Beljo
  7. 60'I. Mamut (M. Vuk)
  8. 60'M. Marina (T. Duvnjak)
  9. 68'Niko Galešić (Dion Drena Beljo)
  10. 72'F. Maglica
  11. 72'L. Mamic (D. Puclin)
  12. 72'I. Tavares (E. Uchegbu)
  13. 73'Arber Hoxha (M. Oršić)
  14. 73'Miha Zajc (R. Mudražija)
  15. 80'A. Latkovic (S. Jurić)
  16. 81'Mateo Lisica (Fran Topić)
  17. 82'Josip Mišić
  18. 90+3'R. Mudražija (Dion Drena Beljo)

Lineups

Dinamo ZagrebNK Varazdin
2.2
Goals/game
1.8
0.8
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Dinamo Zagreb win
61.49%
Draw
21.72%
NK Varazdin win
16.79%
56.5%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
27.3%Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet
22.3%NK Varazdin clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Dinamo Zagreb is in solid form, having won their last three home matches, while NK Varazdin is also performing well, remaining unbeaten in their last five. Historically, Dinamo Zagreb has a favorable head-to-head record against Varazdin, winning four of the last five encounters. Given these factors, the expectations are set for a competitive match with Dinamo edging slightly in scoring.

  • Dinamo Zagreb has won their last 3 home matches
  • NK Varazdin is unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Dinamo Zagreb scored an average of 2.2 goals while conceding 0.8 in their last 10 matches
  • Dinamo Zagreb has a strong head-to-head record against NK Varazdin, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Dinamo Zagreb

  • Historical edgeDinamo Zagreb

    Dinamo Zagreb have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Strong recent formDinamo Zagreb

    Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Strong recent formNK Varazdin

    NK Varazdin are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Sharper attackDinamo Zagreb

    Dinamo Zagreb are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Dinamo Zagreb at 61.49% — final result was Dinamo Zagreb win, Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 NK Varazdin.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dinamo Zagreb1.53market 65.4% · model 61.49%
Draw4.15market 24.1% · model 21.72%
NK Varazdin5.36market 18.6% · model 16.79%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dinamo Zagreb have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • NK Varazdin have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Dinamo Zagreb wins
2Draws
0NK Varazdin wins
17-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dinamo Zagreb1.53best 1.63
Draw4.15best 4.75
NK Varazdin5.36best 8.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.57best 1.63
Under 2.52.25best 2.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.85
No2.06best 2.25

Double chance

Dinamo Zagreb/Draw1.14best 1.20
Dinamo Zagreb/NK Varazdin1.19best 1.22
Draw/NK Varazdin2.33best 3.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.50best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Dinamo Zagreb1.53 0.25
Draw4.15 0.98
NK Varazdin5.36 3.80
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Dinamo Zagreb win+1pp
AI
61.49%
Market
60.5%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
21.72%
Market
22.3%
NK Varazdin win-0.5pp
AI
16.79%
Market
17.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Dinamo Zagreb
3300+89WWW
3
NK Varazdin
4301+49LWWW

Pre-match comparison

2.2Goals scored per game1.8
0.8Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Dinamo Zagreb

0-15'
37.5%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

NK Varazdin

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More HNL predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?+

Our AI model favors Dinamo Zagreb to win, with a 61.49% probability (Draw 21.72%, NK Varazdin 16.79%).

Where is Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin played?+

The match is played at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb (capacity 37,168).

What time does Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).