Drogheda United vs Dundalk
Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 8:00 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 2.8
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Dundalk is favored in this matchup, having a significantly better away record and recent form. Drogheda United's recent home performances, combined with their struggles this season, raise concerns about their chances. Historically, Dundalk has shown dominance in their encounters, further leaning the odds in their favor.
- Drogheda United has only 3 wins at home this season.
- Dundalk has a strong away record with 7 draws and 3 wins.
- Historically, Dundalk has dominated this matchup with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Dundalk
- Historical edgeDundalk
Dundalk have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackDundalk
Dundalk are averaging 2.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game - Good recent formDundalk
Dundalk have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Higher league positionDundalk
Dundalk sit 5 places above Drogheda United in the table.
#4 vs #9
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Lineups not confirmed
Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
Match trends
- Drogheda United have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Dundalk have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Dundalk
Drogheda UnitedDrogheda UnitedDundalkDundalkDrogheda UnitedDrogheda UnitedDundalkDrogheda UnitedDundalkDundalkDrogheda UnitedDrogheda UnitedDundalkDundalkDrogheda UnitedOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Drogheda United | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 | DDDW |
| 4 | Dundalk | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 37 | LDDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Drogheda United
Dundalk
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Shamrock RoversFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Drogheda United vs Dundalk?+
Our AI model favors Dundalk to win, with a 42.78% probability (Draw 27.42%, Drogheda United 29.8%).
What time does Drogheda United vs Dundalk kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).