Dunkerque vs Montpellier
Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque · Capacity 4,933 · grass · Referee: E. Rosier
Match events
- 12'Yael Mouanga
- 46'Victor Mayela (Lenny Vallier)
- 46'E. Prutsev (S. Keita)
- 54'Nicolas Pays
- 58'N. Vidal-Cartoux (D. Benlahlou)
- 60'A. Daho
- 64'T. Massock (K. Ayari)
- 64'A. Daho (M. Decherf)
- 69'N. Mukiele (Y. Issoufou)
- 78'J. Morel (E. Mayilla)
- 90+3'S. Keita
- 90+3'Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
- 90+5'K. Ayari
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 2.3
- Conceded/game
- 0.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests Dunkerque has started the season positively at home, securing a win in their only match, while Montpellier is also unbeaten so far. The numbers favor a close contest, but Dunkerque's head-to-head success against Montpellier adds an extra edge. Analysts predict a slight advantage for Dunkerque, with a likely score of 2-1.
- Dunkerque has a strong home record this season with 1 win from 1 game.
- Montpellier has a solid away form, also winning 1 of their played matches.
- Historically, Dunkerque has had the upper hand in their last 2 meetings with 1 win against Montpellier at home.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Dunkerque
- Tighter defenseMontpellier
Montpellier are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded - Sharper attackDunkerque
Dunkerque are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Poor recent formDunkerque
Dunkerque have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Higher league positionMontpellier
Montpellier sit 8 places above Dunkerque in the table.
#2 vs #10
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Dunkerque at 43% — final result was Montpellier win, Dunkerque 0-1 Montpellier.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Dunkerque have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Montpellier have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | LLDW |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 | DWWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
E. Rosier
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Dunkerque
Montpellier
More Ligue 2 predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Dunkerque vs Montpellier?+
Our AI model favors Dunkerque to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 27%, Montpellier 30%).
Where is Dunkerque vs Montpellier played?+
The match is played at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque (capacity 4,933).
What time does Dunkerque vs Montpellier kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).