Durango vs Leones Negros UDG
Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango · Capacity 18,000 · grass · Referee: F. Cruz Garatachea
Match events
- 7'J. Gonzalez (L. Morales)
- 12'S. A. Hernandez (L. Razo)
- 32'J. Escalante
- 42'L. Razo (O. Gil)
- 45+6'U. Torres
- 45+7'J. Angulo
- 46'L. Razo (K. Loera)
- 53'R. Dominguez
- 58'R. Dominguez (D. Oteo)
- 58'C. Vega Hernandez (J. I. Reyes Olguin)
- 70'S. A. Hernandez (U. Meza)
- 70'J. Brigido (J. Perez)
- 70'Alonso Escoboza (L. Lorona)
- 70'O. Gil (M. Valenzuela)
- 72'A. Ontiveros (A. Garcia)
- 84'S. A. Hernandez (L. Sepulveda)
- 88'J. Escalante (M. Nuno)
- 89'J. Marchand (M. Nuno)
- 90+4'J. Perez
Lineups
- 0.0
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 2.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Leones Negros UDG, currently ranked 3rd, has a strong away form with 2 wins out of 2 this season. In contrast, Durango is struggling, having lost their only home match and exhibiting a negative goal difference. The numbers reveal a favorability towards Leones Negros UDG winning this encounter.
- Leones Negros UDG has won both away matches this season.
- Durango has not secured any points at home with a negative goal difference.
- Durango has conceded an average of 2.5 goals in their last two matches.
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Leones Negros UDG
- Weak home recordDurango
Durango have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.
0/2 home wins - Strong away recordLeones Negros UDG
Leones Negros UDG have won 3 of their last 3 away matches.
3/3 away wins - Poor recent formDurango
Durango have lost 2 of their last 2 matches.
0W 0D 2L - Sharper attackLeones Negros UDG
Leones Negros UDG are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Durango has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Leones Negros UDG at 48% — final result was Leones Negros UDG win, Durango 1-2 Leones Negros UDG.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Match trends
- Durango have averaged 0 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
- Leones Negros UDG have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Durango | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 | LLWW |
| 1 |  Leones Negros UDG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 | WLWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
F. Cruz Garatachea
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Leones Negros UDG
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Who is likely to win Durango vs Leones Negros UDG?+
Our AI model favors Leones Negros UDG to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 30%, Durango 22%).
Where is Durango vs Leones Negros UDG played?+
The match is played at Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango (capacity 18,000).
What time does Durango vs Leones Negros UDG kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).