Durban City vs Richards Bay

Premier Soccer League· Regular Season - 3
LLDWGoals 8-127th in league
DDLDGoals 8-813th in league
Home0W 2D 0L(1-1)
Away0W 2D 0L(2-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'N. Xulu
  2. 46'L. Khumalo (L. Zikhali)
  3. 46'K. Mofokeng (S. Maseko)
  4. 46'T. Morris (L. Sifumba)
  5. 46'T. Nodada (B. Shandu)
  6. 70'T. Sikhakhane
  7. 75'S. Barns (S. Nzama)
  8. 79'J. Mokone (A. Doumbia)
  9. 79'G. Sirino (H. Domingo)
  10. 81'T. Gumede (W. Ngema)
  11. 84'N. Xulu (N. Bomelo)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Durban CityRichards Bay
0.8
Goals/game
0.8
1.2
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Durban City win
42.9%
Draw
33.1%
Richards Bay win
24%
34.8%BTTS
26.9%Over 2.5
36.8%Durban City clean sheet
44.9%Richards Bay clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The statistics suggest a closely contested match between Durban City and Richards Bay. Durban City has a slight historical edge, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters against Richards Bay. Both teams' recent form reflects offensive challenges, as they have averaged under one goal per game, hinting that a low-scoring affair is likely.

  • Durban City unbeaten in last 5 home games against Richards Bay.
  • Richards Bay has not won any of their last 5 matches.
  • Both teams have struggled to score, averaging less than 1 goal per game in recent matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Durban City

  • Historical edgeDurban City

    Durban City have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    1/2 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseRichards Bay

    Richards Bay are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Sharper attackRichards Bay

    Richards Bay are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game
  • Higher league positionDurban City

    Durban City sit 6 places above Richards Bay in the table.

    #7 vs #13

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Durban City at 42.9% — final result was a draw, Durban City 1-1 Richards Bay.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Durban City2.17market 46% · model 42.9%
Draw2.78market 35.9% · model 33.1%
Richards Bay3.68market 27.2% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Durban City have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Richards Bay have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Durban City wins
1Draws
0Richards Bay wins
1-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Durban City2.17best 2.22
Draw2.78best 2.88
Richards Bay3.68best 3.86

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.91best 3.00
Under 2.51.36best 1.40

Both teams to score

Yes2.33best 2.50
No1.53best 1.57

Double chance

Durban City/Draw1.24best 1.29
Durban City/Richards Bay1.37best 1.44
Draw/Richards Bay1.60best 1.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Durban City2.17 0.05
Draw2.78 0.05
Richards Bay3.68 0.07
14 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Durban City win+0.8pp
AI
42.9%
Market
42.1%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
33.1%
Market
32.9%
Richards Bay win-0.9pp
AI
24%
Market
24.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Durban City
4121+15WDDL
13
Richards Bay
3021-12DDL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Durban City

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Richards Bay

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Premier Soccer League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Durban City vs Richards Bay?+

Our AI model favors Durban City to win, with a 42.9% probability (Draw 33.1%, Richards Bay 24%).

What time does Durban City vs Richards Bay kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).