Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik
Value found
+90.5% edgeDustin Stoltzfus win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
AI fight analysis
The data suggests a competitive matchup, leaning towards Mansur Abdul-Malik as the favored fighter. Stoltzfus's submission skills could play a critical role, but Abdul-Malik's unbeaten streak and striking power, demonstrated by his KO/TKO finishes, point to a likely edge in this contest. Overall, the numbers favor Abdul-Malik, reflecting his recent fight success and reach advantage.
- Dustin Stoltzfus has a higher submission win rate, finishing 6 of 16 wins by submission compared to Mansur Abdul-Malik's 2 submissions.
- Mansur Abdul-Malik has a perfect record of 9-0-1, showcasing strong performance consistency with 7 wins by KO/TKO.
- Abdul-Malik has a notable reach advantage of 11cm over Stoltzfus, potentially impacting striking exchanges.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two fighters is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and both fighters' career records and recent fight history are available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Mansur Abdul-Malik
- More experiencedDustin Stoltzfus
Dustin Stoltzfus has fought 23 professional fights, 13 more than their opponent tonight.
23 pro fights - Reach advantageMansur Abdul-Malik
Mansur Abdul-Malik has a 11cm reach advantage over their opponent, a real edge in striking exchanges at range.
202cm reach - Superior career recordMansur Abdul-Malik
Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 9-0-1 professional record, a 90% win rate.
9-0-1 - High finishing rateMansur Abdul-Malik
Mansur Abdul-Malik has finished 9 of 9 career wins by knockout or submission, a 100% finish rate.
100% finish rate
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik?+
Our AI model favors Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, with a 65% probability (Dustin Stoltzfus 35%).
What time does Dustin Stoltzfus vs Mansur Abdul-Malik start?+
This fight took place on Aug 16, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What are the career records of Dustin Stoltzfus and Mansur Abdul-Malik?+
Dustin Stoltzfus is 16-7-0 (W-L-D). Mansur Abdul-Malik is 9-0-1 (W-L-D).

