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Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva

Premier League· Regular Season - 5
Dynamo
3–1Full-time
Rodina Moskva
WWLLGoals 11-107th in league
LWDLGoals 19-1213th in league
Home2W 1D 0L(6-2)
Away1W 0D 2L(3-7)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 24'T. Marinkin
  2. 27'S. Bessmertniy
  3. 32'Iker Pozo
  4. 38'K. Tyukavin (M. Osipenko)
  5. 40'T. Marinkin (D. Glebov)
  6. 46'L. Zaydenzal (J. Caceres)
  7. 50'K. Tyukavin
  8. 56'A. Miranchuk (Bitello)
  9. 59'A. Miranchuk (Luis Chávez)
  10. 59'Astemir Gordyushenko (S. Bakaev)
  11. 59'A. Gharibyan (I. Timoshenko)
  12. 69'Y. Gladyshev
  13. 69'R. Fishchenko (K. Ushatov)
  14. 70'S. Bessmertniy (I. Dyatlov)
  15. 77'Dmitri Skopintsev (Rubens)
  16. 77'K. Tyukavin (I. Sergeev)
  17. 80'Yordy Reyna (K. Cissoko)
  18. 83'David Loiola
  19. 85'Iker Pozo
  20. 90+2'I. Sergeev

Lineups

Dynamo
Rodina Moskva
4-3-34-4-2
1
1. Kurban Rasulov
← 77'
7. Dmitri Skopintsev
57
57. David Loiola
55
55. M. Osipenko
56
← 46'
56. L. Zaydenzal
21
← 59'
21. A. Miranchuk
60
← 40'
60. T. Marinkin
10. Bitello
11. Arthur Gomes
70
← 77'
70. K. Tyukavin
91
91. Y. Gladyshev
← 80'
10. Yordy Reyna
77
← 59'
77. A. Gharibyan
9
9. Artem Maksimenko
8. Iker Pozo
6
← 69'
6. R. Fishchenko
← 59'
72. Astemir Gordyushenko
3
3. L. Goglichidze
26
26. A. Mešaninov
19
19. Dmitriy Tananeev
80
← 70'
80. S. Bessmertniy
13
13. Sergey Volkov
S. SchwarzCoachJuan Diaz
Bench (10)
Bench (11)
DynamoRodina Moskva
1.1
Goals/game
1.9
1.0
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Dynamo win
71.42%
Draw
17.34%
Rodina Moskva win
11.24%
52.3%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
23.5%Dynamo clean sheet
31.7%Rodina Moskva clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Dynamo is in a more favorable position, having not lost at home this season and performing relatively well in recent matches. In contrast, Rodina Moskva's struggle with goal difference highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Historically, Dynamo has shown the ability to score effectively at home, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.

  • Dynamo unbeaten in their last 3 home games
  • Rodina Moskva has a goal difference of -4 this season
  • Dynamo has scored an average of 1.1 goals per game in the last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
93/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Dynamo

  • Sharper attackRodina Moskva

    Rodina Moskva are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Good recent formDynamo

    Dynamo have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Tighter defenseDynamo

    Dynamo are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionDynamo

    Dynamo sit 6 places above Rodina Moskva in the table.

    #7 vs #13

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Dynamo at 71.42% — final result was Dynamo win, Dynamo 3-1 Rodina Moskva.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dynamo ✓1.39market 71.9% · model 71.42%
Draw5.16market 19.4% · model 17.34%
Rodina Moskva7.20market 13.9% · model 11.24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dynamo have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Rodina Moskva have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dynamo1.39▲best 1.44
Draw5.16▼best 5.45
Rodina Moskva7.20▼best 7.98

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.49▼best 1.51
Under 2.52.49▲best 2.68

Both teams to score

Yes1.73▼best 1.75
No2.00▲best 2.02

Double chance

Dynamo/Draw1.09▲best 1.11
Dynamo/Rodina Moskva1.16best 1.19
Draw/Rodina Moskva2.96▼best 3.08

Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Dynamo1.39
Draw5.16▲ 0.09
Rodina Moskva7.21▼ 0.12
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Dynamo win+3pp
AI
71.42%
Market
68.4%
Draw-1.1pp
AI
17.34%
Market
18.4%
Rodina Moskva win-2pp
AI
11.24%
Market
13.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Dynamo
521207LWLD
13
Rodina Moskva
5113-64DWLL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.9
1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

E. Bulanov

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Rodina Moskva

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?+

Our AI model favors Dynamo to win, with a 71.42% probability (Draw 17.34%, Rodina Moskva 11.24%).

What time does Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).