Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole

A Lyga· Regular Season - 27
WDWLGoals 15-206th in league
DLWWGoals 13-91st in league
Home6W 2D 5L(18-15)
Away4W 4D 3L(15-11)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'V. Piliukaitis
  2. 21'D. Bunchukov
  3. 60'R. Grigalava
  4. 81'T. Lucky
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Džiugas TelšiaiSuduva Marijampole
1.5
Goals/game
1.3
2.0
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Džiugas Telšiai win
23%
Draw
26%
Suduva Marijampole win
51%
56.5%BTTS
54.2%Over 2.5
19.2%Džiugas Telšiai clean sheet
30.1%Suduva Marijampole clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers suggest that Suduva Marijampole is favored based on their recent form and scoring efficiency. While both teams have had tightly contested matches in their head-to-head history, Suduva's stronger away performance and better goal difference imply they may have the edge in this matchup.

  • Suduva Marijampole has a better recent form with three wins in the last five matches compared to Džiugas Telšiai's two wins.
  • Džiugas Telšiai has conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game over their last ten matches.
  • Suduva Marijampole has a superior away record with more wins compared to Džiugas Telšiai's home performance.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Suduva Marijampole

  • Good recent formSuduva Marijampole

    Suduva Marijampole have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Strong home recordDžiugas Telšiai

    Džiugas Telšiai have won 6 of their last 13 home matches.

    6/13 home wins
  • Weak away recordSuduva Marijampole

    Suduva Marijampole have won 4 of their last 11 away matches.

    4/11 away wins
  • Tighter defenseSuduva Marijampole

    Suduva Marijampole are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Suduva Marijampole at 51% — final result was Suduva Marijampole win, Džiugas Telšiai 0-2 Suduva Marijampole.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Suduva Marijampole1.84market 54.3% · model 51%
Draw3.27market 30.6% · model 26%
Džiugas Telšiai3.77market 26.5% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Džiugas Telšiai have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Suduva Marijampole have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Džiugas Telšiai wins
2Draws
2Suduva Marijampole wins
8-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Džiugas Telšiai3.77best 4.10
Draw3.27best 3.60
Suduva Marijampole1.84best 2.03

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.04best 2.15
Under 2.51.66best 1.71

Both teams to score

Yes1.88best 2.00
No1.77best 1.93

Double chance

Džiugas Telšiai/Draw1.78best 1.91
Džiugas Telšiai/Suduva Marijampole1.24best 1.30
Draw/Suduva Marijampole1.19best 1.23

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Džiugas Telšiai3.77 0.52
Draw3.27 0.27
Suduva Marijampole1.84 0.26
15 Aug17 Aug

Model vs market

Džiugas Telšiai win-0.8pp
AI
23%
Market
23.8%
Draw-1.4pp
AI
26%
Market
27.4%
Suduva Marijampole win+2.2pp
AI
51%
Market
48.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Džiugas Telšiai
251078+337LWDL
1
Suduva Marijampole
231193+1642WWWD

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.3
2Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Džiugas Telšiai

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Suduva Marijampole

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More A Lyga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?+

Our AI model favors Suduva Marijampole to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 26%, Džiugas Telšiai 23%).

What time does Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 3:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).