Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole
Match events
- 19'V. Piliukaitis
- 21'D. Bunchukov
- 60'R. Grigalava
- 81'T. Lucky
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 2.0
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The numbers suggest that Suduva Marijampole is favored based on their recent form and scoring efficiency. While both teams have had tightly contested matches in their head-to-head history, Suduva's stronger away performance and better goal difference imply they may have the edge in this matchup.
- Suduva Marijampole has a better recent form with three wins in the last five matches compared to Džiugas Telšiai's two wins.
- Džiugas Telšiai has conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game over their last ten matches.
- Suduva Marijampole has a superior away record with more wins compared to Džiugas Telšiai's home performance.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Suduva Marijampole
- Good recent formSuduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Strong home recordDžiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai have won 6 of their last 13 home matches.
6/13 home wins - Weak away recordSuduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole have won 4 of their last 11 away matches.
4/11 away wins - Tighter defenseSuduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Suduva Marijampole at 51% — final result was Suduva Marijampole win, Džiugas Telšiai 0-2 Suduva Marijampole.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Džiugas Telšiai have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Suduva Marijampole have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 37 | LWDL | |
| 1 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | +16 | 42 | WWWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Džiugas Telšiai
Suduva Marijampole
More A Lyga predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole?+
Our AI model favors Suduva Marijampole to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 26%, Džiugas Telšiai 23%).
What time does Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 3:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).

