Eibar vs Tenerife
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar · Capacity 8,050 · grass
Match events
- 7'Enric Gallego (N. Gil)
- 35'Jon Bautista (Jon Magunazelaia)
- 44'J. Alvarez
- 56'N. Lopez (Iván Chapela)
- 61'Juanjo (Fabricio Assis)
- 61'Enric Gallego (M. Pecar)
- 62'Jon Magunazelaia (A. Garrido)
- 63'Pejiño (E. Perez)
- 71'N. Gil (A. Krdzalic)
- 71'A. Madariaga (Iván Gil)
- 71'V. Moreno (Baba)
- 74'Iván Chapela (A. Krdzalic)
- 81'Juan Bernat (Javier Martón Ansó)
- 81'Malcom Ares (Jon Guruzeta)
- 90'J. Alvarez
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 0.3
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 0.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
The data suggests that Eibar may have a slight edge going into the match, supported by their positive head-to-head history against Tenerife. Eibar's recent form at home shows potential for scoring, while Tenerife has struggled offensively, failing to score in multiple recent matches. The numbers point towards a tightly contested game, with a predicted narrow victory for Eibar.
- Eibar's last 5 home matches include 2 wins and 1 draw against various opponents
- Tenerife has not scored in their last 3 away matches
- Historically, Eibar has a positive recent head-to-head record against Tenerife, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Eibar
- Poor recent formTenerife
Tenerife have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackEibar
Eibar are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Historical edgeEibar
Eibar have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseTenerife
Tenerife are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Eibar at 47.84% — final result was Tenerife win, Eibar 1-3 Tenerife.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Eibar have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Tenerife have averaged 0.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Eibar
Tenerife
More Segunda División predictions
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EldenseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Eibar vs Tenerife?+
Our AI model favors Eibar to win, with a 47.84% probability (Draw 29.05%, Tenerife 23.11%).
Where is Eibar vs Tenerife played?+
The match is played at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar (capacity 8,050).
What time does Eibar vs Tenerife kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).