Eibar vs Valladolid
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar · Capacity 8,050 · grass
Match events
- 16'Sergio Álvarez (A. Madariaga)
- 34'T. Ojeda
- 46'Pejiño (Iván Gil)
- 48'Juanmi Latasa
- 50'Kaj de Rooij
- 57'Jon Guruzeta
- 61'T. Ojeda (A. Balboa)
- 61'Kaj de Rooij (Victor Fernandez)
- 64'Álvaro Rodríguez (A. Madariaga)
- 66'Jon Bautista (Javier Martón)
- 66'Jon Guruzeta (Malcom Ares)
- 70'Juanmi Latasa (Adrián Arnu)
- 70'Y. Cabanzon (R. van Duiven)
- 72'Anaitz Arbilla
- 78'A. Garrido (Lucas Núñez)
- 80'I. Garriel
- 83'I. Garriel (Carlos Clerc)
- 90+2'Malcom Ares
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The match between Eibar and Valladolid appears to be closely contested, as both teams are struggling at the bottom of the league standings without points from their initial matches. The recent form of Eibar, with their last game resulting in a defeat at home, and Valladolid's similar plight following an away loss, suggests they may cancel each other out. Historical head-to-head results have shown a mixture of outcomes, supporting a potential draw. The scoring averages indicate a tight match, with both teams showing weaknesses defensively.
- Eibar has lost their last match 1-3 against Tenerife at home.
- Valladolid has a recent away loss of 0-2 to Mallorca.
- In their last five head-to-head fixtures, the results have been mixed, indicating competitive balance.
- Eibar has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded over their last ten matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Eibar
- Sharper attackEibar
Eibar are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Poor recent formEibar
Eibar have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Poor recent formValladolid
Valladolid have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseEibar
Eibar are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Eibar at 44% — final result was Eibar win, Eibar 1-0 Valladolid.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Eibar have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Valladolid have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Valladolid
EibarEibarValladolidValladolidEibarEibarValladolidEibarValladolidValladolidEibarEibarValladolidValladolidEibarOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 21 | Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 | LL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Eibar
More Segunda División predictions
Tenerife
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Sabadell
Almeria
Albacete
Oviedo
Leganes
EldenseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Eibar vs Valladolid?+
Our AI model favors Eibar to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 32%, Valladolid 24%).
Where is Eibar vs Valladolid played?+
The match is played at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar (capacity 8,050).
What time does Eibar vs Valladolid kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).