Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig
Moselstadion, Trier · Capacity 10,805 · grass · Referee: M. P. Eckermann
Value found
+3.3% edgeEintracht Trier win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 3'Brajan Gruda (A. Nusa)
- 6'Willi Orbán
- 29'M. Kritzer
- 45+2'Ridle Baku (T. Gomis)
- 46'M. Kritzer (O. Yavuz)
- 52'Nicolas Seiwald
- 63'C. Wahling (S. Blum)
- 63'J. Singer (S. Tekerci)
- 64'Ridle Baku (Benjamin Henrichs)
- 64'T. Gomis (Rocco Reitz)
- 64'Johan Bakayoko (C. Harder)
- 64'David Raum (Max Finkgrafe)
- 73'E. Dittrich (F. Lohei)
- 76'C. Harder (Rocco Reitz)
- 80'Nicolas Seiwald (A. Vermeeren)
- 82'T. Sausen (D. Kinscher)
- 90+2'A. Nusa
- 0.7
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 0-3
Data suggests that RB Leipzig, despite a recent string of poor performances, possesses a significantly better attacking record than Eintracht Trier. Historically, lower-tier teams have struggled against Bundesliga opponents, and Eintracht Trier's defensive vulnerabilities may be exploited. The numbers favor Leipzig to dominate the match with a likely outcome reflective of their scoring capabilities.
- RB Leipzig has an average of 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches
- Eintracht Trier has conceded an average of 1.71 goals in their last 7 matches
- RB Leipzig has not won in their last 5 matches but remains a strong side against lower league teams
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors RB Leipzig
- Sharper attackRB Leipzig
RB Leipzig are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Tighter defenseEintracht Trier
Eintracht Trier are conceding just 1.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game conceded - Poor recent formEintracht Trier
Eintracht Trier have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formRB Leipzig
RB Leipzig have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked RB Leipzig at 92.69% — final result was RB Leipzig win, Eintracht Trier 0-6 RB Leipzig.
Predicted score was 0-3.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Eintracht Trier have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 7 matches.
- RB Leipzig have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 7 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Eintracht Trier
RB Leipzig
More DFB Pokal predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig?+
Our AI model favors RB Leipzig to win, with a 92.69% probability (Draw 4.85%, Eintracht Trier 2.46%).
Where is Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig played?+
The match is played at Moselstadion, Trier (capacity 10,805).
What time does Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).