El Geish vs El Mokawloon

Premier League· Regular Season - 1
El Geish
10Full-time
El Mokawloon
WLLWGoals 7-113rd in league
DDWLGoals 13-918th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(1-0)
Away0W 0D 1L(0-1)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'Joackiam Ojera (A. Belia)
  2. 33'Mido Gaber
  3. 60'Eslam Gaber (M. Sandouqa)
  4. 60'Mido Gaber (M. Refaat)
  5. 66'Fares Hatem (Ismail Ouro-Agoro)
  6. 66'I. Mohareb (Hamed Khaled)
  7. 66'M. Atef
  8. 70'Ahmed Alaa Eldin
  9. 80'Dokou Dodo (Mohamed Ahmed Fouad)
  10. 80'A. Belia (Shady Hussein)
  11. 82'K. Tarek (Khaled Stouhi)
  12. 87'Y. Mostafa (Mostafa Khawaga)
  13. 90+6'Shady Hussein
Lineups unavailable for this match.
El GeishEl Mokawloon
0.7
Goals/game
1.3
1.1
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

El Geish win
34%
Draw
34%
El Mokawloon win
32%
38.5%BTTS
32.3%Over 2.5
30.1%El Geish clean sheet
44.9%El Mokawloon clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis suggests El Mokawloon has a historical edge over El Geish, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. Additionally, El Mokawloon has displayed a stronger recent scoring average compared to El Geish, who has struggled offensively. Given these dynamics, the match could likely end in a draw, but El Mokawloon appears to have the upper hand.

  • El Mokawloon unbeaten in last 5 matches against El Geish
  • El Geish averages only 0.6 goals scored per game over last 10 matches
  • El Mokawloon averages 1.2 goals scored per game over last 10 matches
  • El Geish has lost 3 of their last 5 matches overall.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors El Geish

  • Historical edgeEl Mokawloon

    El Mokawloon have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionEl Geish

    El Geish sit 15 places above El Mokawloon in the table.

    #3 vs #18
  • Poor recent formEl Geish

    El Geish have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackEl Mokawloon

    El Mokawloon are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 34% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked El Geish at 34% — final result was El Geish win, El Geish 1-0 El Mokawloon.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Draw2.66market 37.7% · model 34%
El Geish2.73market 36.6% · model 34%
El Mokawloon2.83market 35.3% · model 32%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • El Geish have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • El Mokawloon have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1El Geish wins
3Draws
4El Mokawloon wins
5-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

El Geish2.73best 2.82
Draw2.66best 2.80
El Mokawloon2.83best 2.98

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.13best 3.35
Under 2.51.31best 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes2.41best 2.50
No1.50best 1.53

Double chance

El Geish/Draw1.37best 1.42
El Geish/El Mokawloon1.40best 1.44
Draw/El Mokawloon1.39best 1.44

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.25best 2.25

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

El Geish2.73 0.02
Draw2.65 0.03
El Mokawloon2.83 0.03
20 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

El Geish win+0.6pp
AI
34%
Market
33.4%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
34%
Market
34.4%
El Mokawloon win-0.2pp
AI
32%
Market
32.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
El Geish
2200+26WW
18
El Mokawloon
2002-20LL

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

El Geish

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

El Mokawloon

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win El Geish vs El Mokawloon?+

Our AI model favors El Geish to win, with a 34% probability (Draw 34%, El Mokawloon 32%).

What time does El Geish vs El Mokawloon kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).