El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Match events
- 46'T. Amann (Y. Tsukanome)
- 53'R. Mertz (C. Ahl)
- 57'E. Calvillo (A. Ortiz)
- 58'G. Vacter (R. Ydrach)
- 60'D. Gomez (R. Coronado)
- 60'A. Méndez (R. Avila)
- 70'P. Barnes (E. Goldthorp)
- 70'C. Ahl (Brunallergene Junior Etou)
- 73'N. Cardona (Bryant Farkarlun)
- 73'A. Moreno (Z. Jones)
- 84'S. Bassett (J. Garcia)
- 85'E. Goldthorp
- 90+1'R. Rubin (R. Ruiz)
- 90+3'N. Dollenmayer (Z. Jones)
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 0.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a closely matched contest between El Paso Locomotive and Pittsburgh Riverhounds, with both teams performing well in their recent fixtures. El Paso's recent form shows three wins, but they have struggled defensively in some games, while Pittsburgh's defense has been strong, yielding only 1 goal in their last 5 matches. Given their past encounters and respective standings, a low-scoring draw appears likely.
- El Paso has won 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Pittsburgh has kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games.
- Historically, the last 3 encounters have all had narrow margins, with no team scoring more than 2 goals.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors El Paso Locomotive
- Sharper attackEl Paso Locomotive
El Paso Locomotive are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Tighter defensePittsburgh Riverhounds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are conceding just 0.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.2/game conceded - Historical edgePittsburgh Riverhounds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.
2/3 H2H wins - Good recent formEl Paso Locomotive
El Paso Locomotive have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked El Paso Locomotive at 43% — final result was El Paso Locomotive win, El Paso Locomotive 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- El Paso Locomotive have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 0 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  El Paso Locomotive | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 37 | WWWW |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | +2 | 33 | WWDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
El Paso Locomotive
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
More USL Championship predictions
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Brooklyn
Sporting JAX
Lexington
Colorado Springs
Hartford Athletic
Birmingham LegionFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?+
Our AI model favors El Paso Locomotive to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 30%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27%).
What time does El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).