Eldense vs Cadiz

Segunda División· Regular Season - 2
Eldense
22Full-time
Cadiz
DDLLGoals 10-1919th in league
WLLDGoals 9-1715th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Away0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 37'Damián Rodríguez
  2. 49'M. Carmona (Jordi Martín)
  3. 55'I. Sanchez (Jose Antonio de la Rosa)
  4. 60'J. Gonzalez (K. N'Guessan)
  5. 60'N. Ukwuije (B. Kovačević)
  6. 62'Jordi Martín (Javi Martínez)
  7. 63'J. Rastrojo (B. Calvo)
  8. 70'G. Macho
  9. 73'Jose Antonio de la Rosa (B. Vazquez)
  10. 73'I. Sanchez (V. Kopotun)
  11. 74'Antonio Cordero
  12. 77'B. Kovačević
  13. 82'M. Carmona
  14. 83'G. Macho (Rodri)
  15. 88'K. N'Guessan
  16. 90+2'M. Rivera (G. Gocholeishvili)
  17. 90+3'A. G. Serradell
  18. 90'M. Carmona (C. Guirao)

Lineups

EldenseCadiz
1.0
Goals/game
0.9
1.9
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Eldense win
42.48%
Draw
30.46%
Cadiz win
27.06%
55.8%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
24.7%Eldense clean sheet
25.9%Cadiz clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Cadiz may have an edge in this match with their recent form showing a D in their last outing compared to Eldense's consecutive losses. Historically, Cadiz has had success against Eldense, winning 2 of their last 3 meetings, which could influence their confidence. Eldense has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches, further tilting the numbers in favor of Cadiz.

  • Cadiz has a better recent form with 1 point from their last match compared to Eldense's 0 points.
  • Eldense's last 5 matches include 4 losses, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • In head-to-head encounters, Cadiz leads with 2 wins out of the last 3 meetings.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Eldense

  • Higher league positionCadiz

    Cadiz sit 4 places above Eldense in the table.

    #15 vs #19
  • Historical edgeEldense

    Eldense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.

    2/3 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackEldense

    Eldense are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1/game
  • Tighter defenseCadiz

    Cadiz are conceding just 1.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Eldense at 42.48% — final result was a draw, Eldense 2-2 Cadiz.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Eldense2.25market 44.5% · model 42.48%
Draw3.09market 32.3% · model 30.46%
Cadiz3.28market 30.5% · model 27.06%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Eldense have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Cadiz have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Eldense wins
0Draws
1Cadiz wins
4-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Eldense2.25best 2.32
Draw3.09best 3.22
Cadiz3.28best 3.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.11best 2.20
Under 2.51.70best 1.78

Both teams to score

Yes1.81best 1.87
No1.89best 1.98

Double chance

Eldense/Draw1.31best 1.33
Eldense/Cadiz1.33best 1.36
Draw/Cadiz1.60best 1.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28best 1.28

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Eldense2.25 0.05
Draw3.10 0.05
Cadiz3.28 0.18
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Eldense win+1pp
AI
42.48%
Market
41.5%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
30.46%
Market
30.1%
Cadiz win-1.3pp
AI
27.06%
Market
28.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
19
Eldense
2011-31DL
15
Cadiz
202002DD

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game0.9
1.9Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Eldense

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
66.7%
76-90+'
0%

More Segunda División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Eldense vs Cadiz?+

Our AI model favors Eldense to win, with a 42.48% probability (Draw 30.46%, Cadiz 27.06%).

What time does Eldense vs Cadiz kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).