Elise Reed vs Shanelle Dyer

UFC· UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues· Women's Strawweight
WLWL
8-4-0 (W-L-D)2 KO, 0 SUB
Ht 160cmWt 52kgReach 160cmStance Orthodox
Kickside Martial Arts
W
The Nightmare6-1-0 (W-L-D)4 KO, 0 SUB
Ht 168cmWt 53kgReach 165cmStance Orthodox
Great Britain Top

Value found

+90.5% edge

Elise Reed win

3.33AI fair odds
6.35Bookmaker odds
+90.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Fight time
In Progress
Result

AI fight analysis

Elise Reed win
30%
Shanelle Dyer win
70%

Data suggests that Shanelle Dyer is favored to win, with her higher knockout finish rate contributing to this estimation. Elise Reed's mixed results in her recent fights indicate potential vulnerabilities, and her shorter reach may disadvantage her in striking exchanges. Overall, the statistics favor Dyer as she holds a better win ratio and more effective striking background.

  • Shanelle Dyer has finished 4 of 6 wins by knockout, showing strong striking capability.
  • Elise Reed has a slightly shorter reach of 160cm compared to Dyer's 165cm, which may impact striking exchanges.
  • Dyer has won 6 of her 7 career fights, indicating a solid recent performance history.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two fighters is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and one fighter's career record or recent fight history is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Shanelle Dyer

  • Reach advantageShanelle Dyer

    Shanelle Dyer has a 5cm reach advantage over their opponent, a real edge in striking exchanges at range.

    165cm reach
  • High finishing rateShanelle Dyer

    Shanelle Dyer has finished 4 of 6 career wins by knockout or submission, a 67% finish rate.

    67% finish rate
  • More experiencedElise Reed

    Elise Reed has fought 12 professional fights, 5 more than their opponent tonight.

    12 pro fights
  • Superior career recordShanelle Dyer

    Shanelle Dyer carries a 6-1 professional record, a 86% win rate.

    6-1

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Elise Reed6.35best 7.47AI 30%
Shanelle Dyer1.11best 1.13AI 70%

Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Elise Reed6.35 1.21
Shanelle Dyer1.11 0.05
16 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Elise Reed win+15.1pp
AI
30%
Market
14.9%
Shanelle Dyer win-15.1pp
AI
70%
Market
85.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

More UFC predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Elise Reed vs Shanelle Dyer?+

Our AI model favors Shanelle Dyer to win, with a 70% probability (Elise Reed 30%).

What time does Elise Reed vs Shanelle Dyer start?+

This fight took place on Aug 22, 2026, 9:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What are the career records of Elise Reed and Shanelle Dyer?+

Elise Reed is 8-4-0 (W-L-D). Shanelle Dyer is 6-1-0 (W-L-D).