Empoli vs Cremonese
Match events
- 16'Jari Vandeputte
- 19'Michele Collocolo (Salvatore Elia)
- 21'Goal Under Review — S. Shpendi
- 21'S. Shpendi (Cristian Cauz)
- 45+2'M. Bianchetti
- 57'Filippo Distefano (B. Popov)
- 59'J. Ceesay
- 63'S. Shpendi (K. Zedadka)
- 65'Giuseppe Pezzella (Marco Nasti)
- 65'Salvatore Elia (T. Berti)
- 65'Manuel De Luca (Marco Nasti)
- 77'Gerard Yepes (L. Deli)
- 77'E. Biondini (L. Belardinelli)
- 77'E. Saporiti (S. Romagnoli)
- 82'S. Luperto (Yuri Rocchetti)
- 85'F. Bonazzoli
- 90+4'B. Popov
Lineups
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a closely contested match with recent form favoring Cremonese, who have secured three wins in their last five outings. Empoli's tendency to draw could also play a significant role, as they have not won in their recent matches. Historically, matches between the two teams have been competitive, with two draws in the last five encounters. Therefore, a level match with both teams scoring seems plausible.
- Empoli has drawn three of their last five matches, indicating a struggle to secure wins.
- Cremonese won three of their last five matches, showing stronger recent form.
- Historically, the last five encounters include two draws, demonstrating a competitive rivalry.
- Both teams have yet to play their first match of the season, leading to uncertainty in form.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cremonese
- Higher league positionEmpoli
Empoli sit 9 places above Cremonese in the table.
#9 vs #18 - Good recent formCremonese
Cremonese have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeEmpoli
Empoli have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseEmpoli
Empoli are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cremonese at 34.6% — final result was Empoli win, Empoli 1-0 Cremonese.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Empoli have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cremonese have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Cremonese
EmpoliEmpoliCremoneseCremoneseEmpoliEmpoliCremoneseCremoneseEmpoliCremoneseEmpoliEmpoliCremoneseEmpoliCremoneseOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
P. Tremolada
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Empoli
Cremonese
More Serie B predictions
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Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Avellino
Vicenza VirtusFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Empoli vs Cremonese?+
Our AI model favors Cremonese to win, with a 34.6% probability (Draw 32.25%, Empoli 33.15%).
What time does Empoli vs Cremonese kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).