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Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray

Süper Lig· Regular Season - 2
Erzurumspor FK
0–4Full-time
Galatasaray
LLWLGoals 15-2018th in league
WLLDGoals 18-162nd in league
Home0W 0D 1L(0-4)
Away1W 0D 0L(4-0)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 12'Roland Sallai
  2. 20'Yunus Akgün (Victor Osimhen)
  3. 45'Victor Osimhen
  4. 55'Gyrano Kerk (N. Axundzadə)
  5. 66'Mario Lemina (L. Ugochukwu)
  6. 66'Roland Sallai (Wilfried Singo)
  7. 66'Ismail Jakobs (Eren Elmalı)
  8. 67'Yunus Akgün (Leroy Sané)
  9. 70'E. Tozlu (Fernando)
  10. 71'O. Ovacıklı (Festy Ebosele)
  11. 76'M. Fettahoglu (S. Akgun)
  12. 77'Martín Rodríguez (Miguel Cardoso)
  13. 80'Victor Osimhen (Gabriel Sara)
  14. 81'Lucas Torreira (Renato Nhaga)
  15. 84'N. Axundzadə

Lineups

Erzurumspor FK
Galatasaray
4-1-4-14-2-3-1
31
31. Matija Orbanić
18
18. N. Mujakić
3
3. Yakup Kırtay
4
4. Amar Gerxhaliu
53
← 71'
53. O. Ovacıklı
6
6. Brandon Baiye
99
← 76'
99. M. Fettahoglu
← 77'
65. Martín Rodríguez
42. Elisha Owusu
10
← 70'
10. E. Tozlu
← 55'
9. Gyrano Kerk
45. Victor Osimhen
53. Barış Alper Yılmaz
← 67'
11. Yunus Akgün
← 66'
99. Mario Lemina
8. Gabriel Sara
← 81'
34. Lucas Torreira
← 66'
4. Ismail Jakobs
6. Davinson Sánchez
42. Abdülkerim Bardakçı
← 66'
7. Roland Sallai
1. Uğurcan Çakır
Serkan OzbaltaCoachO. Buruk
Bench (10)
Bench (10)
Erzurumspor FKGalatasaray
1.5
Goals/game
1.8
2.0
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Erzurumspor FK win
14.28%
Draw
21.47%
Galatasaray win
64.25%
67%BTTS
67%Over 2.5
15%Erzurumspor FK clean sheet
21.2%Galatasaray clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Galatasaray has a strong historical advantage over Erzurumspor FK, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their last four encounters. Erzurumspor's recent form indicates struggles, suffering four losses in their last five matches, while Galatasaray's scoring average of 1.8 goals per game further supports their potential dominance in this matchup.

  • Galatasaray unbeaten in last 4 meetings with Erzurumspor FK
  • Erzurumspor FK has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Galatasaray averages 1.8 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
  • Erzurumspor FK conceded an average of 2 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Galatasaray

  • Historical edgeGalatasaray

    Galatasaray have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionGalatasaray

    Galatasaray sit 16 places above Erzurumspor FK in the table.

    #2 vs #18
  • Poor recent formErzurumspor FK

    Erzurumspor FK have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Poor recent formGalatasaray

    Galatasaray have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Galatasaray at 64.25% — final result was Galatasaray win, Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Galatasaray.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Galatasaray ✓1.50market 66.9% · model 64.25%
Draw4.23market 23.6% · model 21.47%
Erzurumspor FK6.17market 16.2% · model 14.28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Erzurumspor FK have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Galatasaray have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Erzurumspor FK wins
1Draws
3Galatasaray wins
2-6Goals
Galatasaray
2–0Feb 27, 2021, 4:00 PM
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
1–2Oct 24, 2020, 4:00 PM
Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK
1–1Mar 3, 2019, 4:00 PM
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
1–0Sep 28, 2018, 5:00 PM
Erzurumspor FK

Odds comparison

Match winner

Erzurumspor FK6.17▼best 7.50
Draw4.23▼best 4.75
Galatasaray1.50▲best 1.58

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.69best 1.75
Under 2.52.12▼best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.77▼best 1.92
No1.95▲best 2.10

Double chance

Erzurumspor FK/Draw2.53▼best 2.75
Erzurumspor FK/Galatasaray1.20▲best 1.25
Draw/Galatasaray1.11▲best 1.15

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.64▼best 1.70
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.15▲best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10▼best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.38▲best 7.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Erzurumspor FK6.17▼ 1.19
Draw4.23▼ 0.13
Galatasaray1.50▲ 0.08
18 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Erzurumspor FK win-0.9pp
AI
14.28%
Market
15.2%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
21.47%
Market
22.2%
Galatasaray win+1.5pp
AI
64.25%
Market
62.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
18
Erzurumspor FK
2002-70LL
2
Galatasaray
2110+44WD

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.8
2Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Altay

1Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Erzurumspor FK

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Galatasaray

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray?+

Our AI model favors Galatasaray to win, with a 64.25% probability (Draw 21.47%, Erzurumspor FK 14.28%).

What time does Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).