ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain
Value found
+0.2% edgeClub Africain win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 31'Y. Soltani
- 31'S. Khan
- 87'S. Kadida
- 0.6
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 0.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 0-1
Data suggests that Club Africain holds a significant advantage, having won all of the last five matchups against ES Metlaoui. Historically, ES Metlaoui has struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game over their last ten matches, while Club Africain boasts a strong offensive record, averaging 1.8 goals scored in the same period. This trend combined with Club Africain's recent form indicates a likely win for the away side.
- Club Africain has won 5 of the last 5 encounters against ES Metlaoui.
- ES Metlaoui averages 0.6 goals scored in their last 10 matches.
- Club Africain averages 1.8 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Club Africain
- Sharper attackClub Africain
Club Africain are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Historical edgeClub Africain
Club Africain have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionClub Africain
Club Africain sit 13 places above ES Metlaoui in the table.
#2 vs #15 - Strong recent formClub Africain
Club Africain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Club Africain at 50% — final result was Club Africain win, ES Metlaoui 0-1 Club Africain.
Predicted score was 0-1.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- ES Metlaoui have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Club Africain have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Club Africain
ES MetlaouiES MetlaouiClub AfricainES MetlaouiClub AfricainClub AfricainES MetlaouiClub AfricainES MetlaouiES MetlaouiClub AfricainES MetlaouiClub AfricainClub AfricainES MetlaouiOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | ES Metlaoui | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 2 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | W |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
More Ligue 1 predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain?+
Our AI model favors Club Africain to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 30%, ES Metlaoui 20%).
What time does ES Metlaoui vs Club Africain kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).