ES Tunis vs ES Sahel

Ligue 1· Regular Season - 1
ES Tunis
32Full-time
ES Sahel
DWLWGoals 8-84th in league
LLWLGoals 9-1312th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(3-2)
Away0W 0D 1L(2-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'M. Belhadj
  2. 19'M. Bouslama
  3. 25'Y. Belaili (Y. Belaili)
  4. 46'O. Diakhate (S. Megwo)
  5. 46'Houssem Dagdoug
  6. 46'A. Amri (O. Abid)
  7. 53'A. Ben Dhiaf
  8. 60'O. Abid (A. Ben Dhiaf)
  9. 66'F. Danho (A. Jabri)
  10. 66'Y. Belaili (M. Haj Ali)
  11. 66'I. Faraj (A. Konate)
  12. 74'M. Sahraoui (Y. Becha)
  13. 75'M. Haj Ali (A. Jabri)
  14. 82'M. Haj Ali
Lineups unavailable for this match.
ES TunisES Sahel
0.8
Goals/game
0.9
0.8
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

ES Tunis win
66%
Draw
23%
ES Sahel win
11%
37.2%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
42.7%ES Tunis clean sheet
35%ES Sahel clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that ES Tunis has a strong historical advantage over ES Sahel, remaining unbeaten in their last five encounters. Meanwhile, ES Sahel struggles defensively, having conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game in their last ten matches. The numbers favor a narrow victory for ES Tunis, potentially by a scoreline of 1-0.

  • ES Tunis unbeaten in last 5 matches against ES Sahel
  • ES Sahel has lost 3 out of their last 5 matches
  • ES Tunis has a slightly better scoring average in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors ES Tunis

  • Historical edgeES Tunis

    ES Tunis have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseES Tunis

    ES Tunis are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Higher league positionES Tunis

    ES Tunis sit 8 places above ES Sahel in the table.

    #4 vs #12
  • Poor recent formES Sahel

    ES Sahel have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked ES Tunis at 66% — final result was ES Tunis win, ES Tunis 3-2 ES Sahel.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

ES Tunis1.35market 74.1% · model 66%
Draw4.00market 25% · model 23%
ES Sahel8.58market 11.7% · model 11%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • ES Tunis have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • ES Sahel have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

7ES Tunis wins
1Draws
0ES Sahel wins
14-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

ES Tunis1.35best 1.39
Draw4.00best 4.20
ES Sahel8.58best 9.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.11best 2.22
Under 2.51.62best 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes2.46best 2.57
No1.43best 1.49

Double chance

ES Tunis/Draw1.04best 1.08
ES Tunis/ES Sahel1.16best 1.20
Draw/ES Sahel2.82best 3.00

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

ES Tunis1.35 0.04
Draw4.00 0.14
ES Sahel8.58 0.89
22 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

ES Tunis win-0.9pp
AI
66%
Market
66.9%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
23%
Market
22.6%
ES Sahel win+0.5pp
AI
11%
Market
10.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
ES Tunis
1100+13W
12
ES Sahel
1001-10L

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game0.9
0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

More Ligue 1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win ES Tunis vs ES Sahel?+

Our AI model favors ES Tunis to win, with a 66% probability (Draw 23%, ES Sahel 11%).

What time does ES Tunis vs ES Sahel kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).