Espanyol vs Real Madrid — La Liga

La Liga· Regular Season - 2

Espanyol

1–2Full-time

Real Madrid

LLWDLWGoals 11-147th in league

DWWWWWGoals 20-71st in league

Home1W 0D 1L(4-2)

Away1W 0D 0L(2-1)

Match events

10'J. Bellingham (A. Guler)
30'Álex Calatrava (Javier Hernández)
32'Vinícius Júnior
33'Álex Calatrava
60'Clemens Riedel
64'A. Carreras (Marc Cucurella)
65'A. Guler (Y. Diomande)
66'Clemens Riedel (V. Drkušić)
66'Álex Calatrava (Rafael Bauzà)
75'Javier Hernández (Pere Milla)
76'Urko González (Pol Lozano)
80'Denzel Dumfries (Trent Alexander-Arnold)
80'Bernardo Silva (E. Camavinga)
80'J. Bellingham (C. Espi)
84'Edu Expósito
88'Edu Expósito (Jofre Carreras)
90+1'C. Espi
90+4'Pere Milla
90+5'Pol Lozano

Lineups

Espanyol

Real Madrid

4-4-2

4-2-3-1

Manolo GonzalezCoach

Jose Mourinho

AI match analysis

Espanyol win

13%

Draw

20%

Real Madrid win

67%

48.5%BTTS

48.2%Over 2.5

18.3%Espanyol clean sheet

40.7%Real Madrid clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The statistics suggest that Real Madrid enters this match with a solid away performance, having won all their last five away games. Conversely, Espanyol has started the season strong at home but has historically struggled against Real Madrid, winning only once in their last five matchups. With the recent form and historical context in mind, the numbers favor an away victory for Real Madrid.

Espanyol has won their only home match this season
Real Madrid has a strong recent away form with 5 wins in their last 5 matches
Historically, Real Madrid has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Espanyol

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Real Madrid

Higher league positionReal Madrid
Real Madrid sit 6 places above Espanyol in the table.
#1 vs #7
Historical edgeReal Madrid
Real Madrid have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins
Good recent formEspanyol
Espanyol have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Strong recent formReal Madrid
Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Real Madrid at 67% — final result was Real Madrid win, Espanyol 1-2 Real Madrid.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Real Madrid ✓1.42market 70.5% · model 67%

Draw4.73market 21.2% · model 20%

Espanyol7.36market 13.6% · model 13%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Espanyol have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Real Madrid have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Espanyol wins

0Draws

7Real Madrid wins

4-17Goals

Espanyol

0–2May 3, 2026, 7:00 PM

Real Madrid

2–0Sep 20, 2025, 2:15 PM

Espanyol

1–0Feb 1, 2025, 8:00 PM

Real Madrid

4–1Sep 21, 2024, 7:00 PM

Espanyol

Real Madrid

3–1Mar 11, 2023, 1:00 PM

Espanyol

1–3Aug 28, 2022, 8:00 PM

Real Madrid

Espanyol

0–1Jun 28, 2020, 8:00 PM

Real Madrid

2–0Dec 7, 2019, 12:00 PM

Espanyol

Odds comparison

Match winner

Espanyol7.36▲best 8.02

Draw4.73▲best 5.00

Real Madrid1.42▼best 1.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.63▼best 1.73

Under 2.52.29▲best 2.43

Both teams to score

Yes1.81▼best 1.90

No1.93▲best 2.00

Double chance

Espanyol/Draw2.83▲best 2.97

Espanyol/Real Madrid1.18▼best 1.22

Draw/Real Madrid1.10best 1.13

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.88▲best 8.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.66▼best 1.70

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.13▲best 2.20

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.09▼best 1.10

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Espanyol7.36▲ 0.36

Draw4.73▲ 0.39

Real Madrid1.42▼ 0.01

19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Espanyol win+0.1pp

AI

13%

Market

12.9%

Draw-0.1pp

AI

20%

Market

20.1%

Real Madrid win0pp

AI

67%

Market

67%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
7	Espanyol	2	1	0	1	+2	3	LW
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6	WW

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game2

1.4Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

José María Sánchez Martínez

1.67Yellow cards / game

0Red cards / game

0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Espanyol

0-15'

33.3%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

33.3%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

0%

76-90+'

33.3%

Real Madrid

0-15'

10%

16-30'

10%

31-45'

20%

46-60'

20%

61-75'

20%

76-90+'

20%

Match statistics

37%Possession63%

1.05Expected goals (xG)2.71

3Shots on target8

8Total shots21

4Shots off target7

1Blocked shots6

4Shots inside the box14

4Shots outside the box7

0Corners8

3Offsides0

19Fouls7

5Yellow cards1

—Red cards—

6Goalkeeper saves2

326Total passes552

273Accurate passes508

84%Pass accuracy92%

Player ratings

1J. BellinghamReal Madrid⚽ 18.2
2A. GulerReal Madrid🅰️ 18.0
3C. EspiReal Madrid⚽ 17.9
4Ibrahima KonatéReal Madrid7.3
5Álex CalatravaEspanyol⚽ 1🟨7.2
6Federico ValverdeReal Madrid7.2

Box score

Espanyol

14Unai NúñezD · 90'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes37%

Tackles—

Duels50%

4Urko GonzálezM · 75'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes28%

Tackles—

Duels17%

8Edu Expósito (C)M · 88'

🟨7.0

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes40%

Tackles4

Duels54%

9Roberto FernándezF · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes8%

Tackles1

Duels55%

23Omar El HilaliD · 90'

6.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes17%

Tackles1

Duels13%

22Álex CalatravaM · 66'

⚽ 1🟨7.2

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes15%

Tackles3

Duels44%

28Javier HernándezF · 75'

🅰️ 16.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes15%

Tackles1

Duels31%

13Marko DmitrovićG · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels0%

24Tyrhys DolanM · 90'

5.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes18%

Tackles1

Duels25%

5Clemens RiedelD · 66'

🟨6.0

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes22%

Tackles1

Duels29%

21Roger HinojoD · 90'

6.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes35%

Tackles3

Duels33%

Bench (12)

20Gabriel MoscardoM

—

10Pol LozanoM · 15'

🟨6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes6%

Tackles1

Duels50%

17Jofre CarrerasF · 2'

—

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels0%

11Pere MillaM · 15'

🟨6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes5%

Tackles—

Duels0%

1Angel FortunoG

—

16

16V. DrkušićD · 24'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes7%

Tackles2

Duels67%

3Quilindschy HartmanD

—

31Llorenç SerredG

—

27Adama TimeraF

—

32José Ángel LópezD

—

26Rafael BauzàM · 24'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles3

Duels57%

18Marcos FernándezF

—

Real Madrid

24Denzel DumfriesD · 80'

6.7

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes27%

Tackles4

Duels83%

10

10K. MbappéF · 90'

6.5

More stats

Shots3/7 on target

Passes32%

Tackles—

Duels63%

1Thibaut CourtoisG · 90'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes19%

Tackles—

Duels—

20

20Bernardo SilvaM · 80'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes52%

Tackles1

Duels20%

16Ibrahima KonatéD · 90'

7.3

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes73%

Tackles3

Duels73%

8Federico Valverde (C)M · 90'

7.2

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes64%

Tackles3

Duels57%

7Vinícius JúniorM · 90'

🟨7.0

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes9%

Tackles1

Duels75%

5

5J. BellinghamM · 80'

⚽ 18.2

More stats

Shots2/2 on target

Passes37%

Tackles2

Duels47%

15

15A. GulerM · 64'

🅰️ 18.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes38%

Tackles2

Duels75%

18

18A. CarrerasD · 64'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes32%

Tackles2

Duels100%

4

4Dean HuijsenD · 90'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes74%

Tackles—

Duels57%

Bench (12)

12

12Trent Alexander-ArnoldD · 10'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes7%

Tackles1

Duels100%

22Antonio RüdigerD

—

17Marc CucurellaD · 26'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes19%

Tackles1

Duels100%

21

21B. DiazM

—

19

19C. EspiF · 10'

⚽ 17.9

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels100%

13Andriy LuninG

—

6

6E. CamavingaM · 10'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes13%

Tackles1

Duels50%

26

26Sergio MestreG

—

33

33Mario RivasD

—

29

29Jorge CesteroM

—

36

36Alexis CiriaM

—

25

25Y. DiomandeF · 26'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels33%

More La Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Espanyol vs Real Madrid?+

Our AI model favors Real Madrid to win, with a 67% probability (Draw 20%, Espanyol 13%).

What time does Espanyol vs Real Madrid kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).