Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Score
| Team | Goals | Behinds | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Essendon Bombers | 11 | 10 | 76 |
 Sydney Swans | 17 | 10 | 112 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 59-86
The data suggests that Sydney Swans have a considerable advantage going into this match, having won their previous encounter against Essendon Bombers and displaying better form in recent games. Essendon Bombers have struggled significantly, with an average of only 58.8 points scored and a high 100.9 points conceded in their last 10 matches, which could see them continue their losing streak against a stronger Sydney team.
- Sydney Swans defeated Essendon Bombers in their last encounter
- Essendon Bombers have lost their last 5 matches
- Sydney Swans scored an average of 84.1 points over their last 10 matches
- Sydney Swans are averaging a lower points conceded per game than Essendon Bombers.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sydney Swans
- Tighter defenseSydney Swans
Sydney Swans are conceding just 86.1 points per game over their recent matches.
86.1/game conceded - Poor recent formEssendon Bombers
Essendon Bombers have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L - Strong recent formSydney Swans
Sydney Swans are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L - Historical edgeSydney Swans
Sydney Swans have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sydney Swans at 70% — final result was Sydney Swans win, Essendon Bombers 76-112 Sydney Swans.
Predicted score was 59-86.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Match trends
- Essendon Bombers have averaged 62.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sydney Swans have averaged 105.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Essendon Bombers are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Sydney Swans.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Ladder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fremantle Dockers | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW |
| 2 | Sydney Swans | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Lions | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Hawthorn Hawks | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW |
| 5 |  Geelong Cats | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW |
| 6 |  Adelaide Crows | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL |
| 7 |  Melbourne Demons | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL |
| 8 |  Western Bulldogs | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW |
| 9 |  Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW |
| 10 |  Carlton Blues | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW |
| 11 |  St Kilda Saints | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW |
| 12 |  Greater Western Sydney Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL |
| 13 |  Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL |
| 14 |  North Melbourne Kangaroos | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL |
| 15 |  Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL |
| 16 |  West Coast Eagles | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL |
| 17 |  Richmond Tigers | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL |
| 18 | Essendon Bombers | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
More AFL Premiership predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans?+
Our AI model favors Sydney Swans to win, with a 70% probability (Essendon Bombers 30%).
What time does Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans start?+
First bounce is at Aug 16, 2026, 6:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the final score in Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans?+
Essendon Bombers: 11.10 (76). Sydney Swans: 17.10 (112).