Estoril vs Rio Ave
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril · Capacity 8,015 · grass · Referee: C. Macedo
Match events
- 15'Jalen Blesa (Diogo Bezerra)
- 52'R. Galcik (A. Ntoi)
- 53'Jalen Blesa (D. Nascimento)
- 53'Goal Disallowed - offside — Jalen Blesa
- 67'Fernando Medrano
- 68'T. Brito (F. Garcia)
- 69'Ricard Sánchez (P. Carvalho)
- 69'Fernando Medrano (T. Parente)
- 73'Tamble (Jalen Blesa)
- 76'Antef Tsoungui (J. Arnolin)
- 76'R. Guitane (Peixinho)
- 76'N. Abbey (M. Vrousai)
- 80'J. Brabec (Gustavo Mancha)
- 80'Tamble (D. Špikić)
- 86'A. Ntoi
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The statistics suggest a slight edge for Estoril, who have historically performed better against Rio Ave, winning 2 of their last 5 encounters. Estoril's recent home form, with a scoring average of 1.5, contrasts with Rio Ave's struggle, having failed to secure any points so far this season. Given Rio Ave's current form and standing, the numbers favor a close encounter with Estoril potentially edging the match.
- Estoril has won 2 of the last 5 meetings against Rio Ave
- Estoril's home scoring average is 1.5 goals per game while conceding the same
- Rio Ave has lost their last 2 matches and is currently bottom of the league
- Estoril is unbeaten at home this season with a draw and a strong recent home performance against Estrela.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Estoril
- Sharper attackEstoril
Estoril are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Historical edgeRio Ave
Rio Ave have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionRio Ave
Rio Ave sit 5 places above Estoril in the table.
#10 vs #15
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Estoril at 48.6% — final result was Rio Ave win, Estoril 0-2 Rio Ave.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Estoril have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rio Ave have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Estoril
Rio AveRio AveEstorilRio AveEstorilEstorilRio AveRio AveEstorilEstorilRio AveRio AveEstorilEstorilRio AveOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
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FC PortoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Estoril vs Rio Ave?+
Our AI model favors Estoril to win, with a 48.6% probability (Draw 26.21%, Rio Ave 25.19%).
Where is Estoril vs Rio Ave played?+
The match is played at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril (capacity 8,015).
What time does Estoril vs Rio Ave kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).