Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa
Match events
- 22'J. Lopez
- 47'N. Luna
- 47'E. Gomez
- 52'N. Luna
- 54'F. Lopez
- 84'J. Rochez
- 86'F. Lopez
- 90+2'E. Duarte
- 2.0
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Estrella Roja enters this match with a modest recent form and home-ground disadvantages but shows some promise by securing a draw and a win in their last two outings. Conversely, Juticalpa has been struggling significantly, with an alarming streak of five losses and a poor scoring rate. The historical performance and recent averages indicate a narrow victory for the home team.
- Estrella Roja unbeaten in last 2 matches with 1 win and 1 draw
- Juticalpa struggling with 5 consecutive losses
- Estrella Roja scored an average of 2 goals in their last 2 matches
- Juticalpa has an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded over their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Estrella Roja
- Strong recent formEstrella Roja
Estrella Roja are unbeaten in their last 2 matches, including 1 win.
1W 1D 0L - Poor recent formJuticalpa
Juticalpa have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackEstrella Roja
Estrella Roja are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game - Tighter defenseEstrella Roja
Estrella Roja are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Estrella Roja has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Estrella Roja at 49% — final result was Estrella Roja win, Estrella Roja 5-2 Juticalpa.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Estrella Roja have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
- Juticalpa have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 9 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Estrella Roja | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 | WDWL |
| 10 |  Juticalpa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 3 | LLLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Estrella Roja
Juticalpa
More Liga Nacional predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa?+
Our AI model favors Estrella Roja to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 26%, Juticalpa 25%).
What time does Estrella Roja vs Juticalpa kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).