Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Anzoátegui FC — Primera División

Primera División· Clausura - 4

Estudiantes de Merida FC

1–0Full-time

Anzoátegui FC

WWWLLDGoals 8-144th in league

LLLDLDGoals 9-1512th in league

Home1W 0D 2L(2-4)

Away1W 0D 1L(1-1)

Exploria Stadium, Orlando

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

31'W. S. Ramirez Holguin
45+7'C. Rivas
45+9'P. Bonilla
50'R. Ivey (C. Rivas)
62'A. Velasco (F. Sinza)
62'G. Marín (L. Pérez)
63'D. Matheus (C. Caicedo)
63'A. Pena (E. Albarran)
73'C. Rivas (J. Lobo)
73'J. Hernández (J. Moreno)
75'Luis Caicedo (J. Gutierez)
78'J. Pacheco (C. Cermeño)
81'D. Guevara (A. Vera)
81'P. Rojas (E. Navas)
82'J. Moreno
85'A. Vera
90+7'C. Lujano

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Estudiantes de Merida FCAnzoátegui FC

0.8
Goals/game: 0.9; 1.4
Conceded/game: 1.5

AI match analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC win

41%

Draw

30%

Anzoátegui FC win

29%

46.7%BTTS

40.4%Over 2.5

31.7%Estudiantes de Merida FC clean sheet

31.7%Anzoátegui FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a balanced matchup, with Estudiantes de Merida FC holding an edge at home but struggling with scoring, averaging only 0.8 goals over their last 10 matches. Conversely, Anzoátegui FC's away form has been poor, with an average of 1.1 goals scored but 1.6 conceded. The head-to-head history indicates a tightly contested rivalry, further complicating predictions.

Estudiantes de Merida FC unbeaten in last 3 home games
Anzoátegui FC has a negative goal difference of -10 this season
Recent form shows Estudiantes de Merida FC has fluctuated with more wins than Anzoátegui FC's recent losses

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

76/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Estudiantes de Merida FC

Higher league positionEstudiantes de Merida FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 8 places above Anzoátegui FC in the table.
#4 vs #12
Weak home recordEstudiantes de Merida FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins
Strong away recordAnzoátegui FC
Anzoátegui FC have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins
Sharper attackAnzoátegui FC
Anzoátegui FC are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Estudiantes de Merida FC at 41% — final result was Estudiantes de Merida FC win, Estudiantes de Merida FC 1-0 Anzoátegui FC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Estudiantes de Merida FC ✓2.16market 46.4% · model 41%

Draw3.14market 31.9% · model 30%

Anzoátegui FC3.24market 30.9% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Estudiantes de Merida FC have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Anzoátegui FC have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Estudiantes de Merida FC wins

0Draws

1Anzoátegui FC wins

4-4Goals

Anzoátegui FC

0–1Aug 16, 2025, 12:30 AM

Estudiantes de Merida FC

3–4Mar 7, 2025, 10:30 PM

Anzoátegui FC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Estudiantes de Merida FC2.16▼best 2.25

Draw3.14best 3.30

Anzoátegui FC3.24▲best 3.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.99best 2.05

Under 2.51.75best 1.78

Both teams to score

Yes1.76best 1.83

No1.94best 2.00

Double chance

Estudiantes de Merida FC/Draw1.28▼best 1.32

Estudiantes de Merida FC/Anzoátegui FC1.30best 1.35

Draw/Anzoátegui FC1.64▲best 1.73

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Estudiantes de Merida FC2.16▲ 0.02

Draw3.14▲ 0.04

Anzoátegui FC3.24▼ 0.05

14 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Estudiantes de Merida FC win-1.5pp

41%

Market

42.5%

Draw+0.8pp

30%

Market

29.2%

Anzoátegui FC win+0.7pp

29%

Market

28.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.