Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello — Primera División

Primera División· Clausura - 5

Estudiantes de Merida FC

1–1Full-time

Puerto Cabello

WWWLLWGoals 8-134th in league

LWDLWWGoals 16-71st in league

Home1W 0D 2L(2-4)

Away1W 0D 2L(3-4)

Unknown

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

43'J. Ramos (Jhon Marchán)
46'Jhon Marchán (L. Casiani)
49'G. Bortagaray
51'A. Pena (R. Chacón)
60'J. Hernández (C. Rivas)
67'D. Matheus
68'D. Matheus (C. Caicedo)
73'A. Ponce (J. Hernandez)
78'C. Caicedo
82'J. Castillo (E. Pernía)
85'C. Rivas (A. Montero)
85'J. Hernández (J. Moreno)
85'G. Meléndez
85'W. S. Ramirez Holguin
87'R. Flores (L. Cova)
89'C. Rodríguez

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Estudiantes de Merida FCPuerto Cabello

0.8
Goals/game: 1.6; 1.3
Conceded/game: 0.7

AI match analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC win

44%

Draw

24%

Puerto Cabello win

32%

40.4%BTTS

37.7%Over 2.5

23.5%Estudiantes de Merida FC clean sheet

47.2%Puerto Cabello clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive match between Estudiantes de Merida FC and Puerto Cabello, with the home side holding a slight advantage historically. Estudiantes has managed to secure 3 wins at home this season, while Puerto Cabello struggles with only 1 away victory. The last encounters indicate that Estudiantes has often found success against Puerto Cabello, but recent forms suggest a close contest.

Estudiantes de Merida FC has won 3 out of their last 6 home matches.
Puerto Cabello has only 1 away win this season, with 4 draws.
Historically, Estudiantes de Merida FC has a slight edge, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

65/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Estudiantes de Merida FC

Weak home recordEstudiantes de Merida FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins
Weak away recordPuerto Cabello
Puerto Cabello have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins
Sharper attackPuerto Cabello
Puerto Cabello are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game
Tighter defensePuerto Cabello
Puerto Cabello are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Estudiantes de Merida FC at 44% — final result was a draw, Estudiantes de Merida FC 1-1 Puerto Cabello.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Match trends

Estudiantes de Merida FC have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Puerto Cabello have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.