Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 6

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

0–0Full-time

San Lorenzo

WLWLLLGoals 15-813th in league

WLDLLWGoals 9-97th in league

Home1W 2D 1L(1-1)

Away2W 5D 1L(4-3)

Match events

30'M. Valenti

Lineups

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

San Lorenzo

3-1-4-24-4-2

Ruben ForestelloCoach

Nestor Gorosito

AI match analysis

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win

26.67%

Draw

35.07%

San Lorenzo win

38.26%

40%BTTS

33.7%Over 2.5

42.7%Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto clean sheet

30.1%San Lorenzo clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests that this matchup may be closely contested given both teams' recent scoring difficulties. San Lorenzo, despite a mixed form, holds a better position in the league and has been more resilient in away fixtures. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's home record remains inconsistent, which could lead to a balanced outcome.

San Lorenzo has a stronger league standing, currently ranked 7th compared to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's 13th.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has a negative recent form with only 1 win in their last 5 matches.
San Lorenzo has a more favorable away record with 2 wins and 5 draws out of 8 games this season.
Statistically, both teams have struggled for goals, averaging less than 1 per game over their last 10 matches.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

63/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors San Lorenzo

Sharper attackEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game
Higher league positionSan Lorenzo
San Lorenzo sit 6 places above Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in the table.
#7 vs #13
Poor recent formEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Weak home recordEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 1 of their last 4 home matches.
1/4 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked San Lorenzo at 38.26% — final result was a draw, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-0 San Lorenzo.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

San Lorenzo2.46market 40.7% · model 38.26%

Draw ✓2.71market 36.9% · model 35.07%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3.44market 29.1% · model 26.67%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
San Lorenzo have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3.44▲best 3.80

Draw2.71▼best 2.80

San Lorenzo2.46▼best 2.66

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.32▲best 3.60

Under 2.51.31▼best 1.38

Both teams to score

Yes2.47▲best 2.60

No1.50▼best 1.60

Double chance

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto/Draw1.51▲best 1.57

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto/San Lorenzo1.42▲best 1.46

Draw/San Lorenzo1.30▼best 1.38

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.48▼best 2.50

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.64▲best 1.73

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.15▼best 2.30

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.49▲best 1.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3.44▲ 0.70

Draw2.71▼ 0.09

San Lorenzo2.46▼ 0.42

18 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win-0.6pp

AI

26.67%

Market

27.3%

Draw+0.5pp

AI

35.07%

Market

34.6%

San Lorenzo win+0.2pp

AI

38.26%

Market

38.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.