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Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 5
Estudiantes L.P.
4–0Full-time
Gimnasia L.P.
DWLWGoals 12-91st in league
LWLLGoals 15-86th in league
Home5W 1D 2L(11-4)
Away4W 1D 3L(8-9)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 23'I. Miramon
  2. 28'Tiago Palacios
  3. 31'G. Benedetti
  4. 33'Alexis Steimbach
  5. 43'E. Mancuso (J. Burgos)
  6. 45+1'Augusto Max
  7. 50'Germán Conti
  8. 53'Germán Conti
  9. 53'Germán Conti
  10. 54'I. Miramon (Juan Cruz Cortazzo)
  11. 60'Tiago Palacios (Adolfo Gaich)
  12. 61'G. Benedetti (E. Meza)
  13. 62'Adolfo Gaich (Guido Carrillo)
  14. 62'B. Rodriguez (Joaquín Correa)
  15. 70'Tiago Palacios (José Sosa)
  16. 70'J. Burgos (Joaquín Correa)
  17. 76'L. Piovi (E. Cetre)
  18. 77'Ignacio Fernández (M. Melluso)
  19. 77'A. Auzmendi (Manuel Panaro)
  20. 84'A. Castro (E. Meza)
  21. 86'Manuel Panaro

Lineups

Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
16. Fernando Muslera
13
← 61'
13. G. Benedetti
24
24. Tomás Palacios
4
4. S. Nunez
40
40. E. Mancuso
22. A. Castro
21
← 76'
21. L. Piovi
17
17. J. Burgos
← 70'
10. Tiago Palacios
31
← 62'
31. B. Rodriguez
← 62'
19. Adolfo Gaich
29
← 77'
29. A. Auzmendi
18. Mateo Seoane
← 77'
8. Ignacio Fernández
25. Alexis Steimbach
16. Augusto Max
5
← 54'
5. I. Miramon
24
24. P. Silva Torrejón
21
21. E. Martínez
13. Germán Conti
31. Bautista Barros Schelotto
23. Nelson Insfrán
Alexander MedinaCoachM. Messera
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
1.2
Goals/game
1.5
0.9
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Estudiantes L.P. win
46%
Draw
32%
Gimnasia L.P. win
22%
44.2%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
30.1%Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet
36.8%Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests a slight advantage for Estudiantes L.P. based on their current standings and home performance, particularly as they maintain an unbeaten record against Gimnasia L.P. in recent meetings. Gimnasia L.P.'s away form appears to be a concern, having won just once away this season, which may impact their chances in this matchup.

  • Estudiantes L.P. has a strong home record with 5 wins from 8 matches this season.
  • Gimnasia L.P. has struggled away from home, winning only 1 of 2 matches.
  • Historically, Estudiantes L.P. is unbeaten in the last 5 encounters against Gimnasia L.P.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Estudiantes L.P.

  • Poor recent formGimnasia L.P.

    Gimnasia L.P. have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackGimnasia L.P.

    Gimnasia L.P. are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Historical edgeEstudiantes L.P.

    Estudiantes L.P. have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordEstudiantes L.P.

    Estudiantes L.P. have won 5 of their last 8 home matches.

    5/8 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Estudiantes L.P. at 46% — final result was Estudiantes L.P. win, Estudiantes L.P. 4-0 Gimnasia L.P..

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Estudiantes L.P. ✓2.06market 48.5% · model 46%
Draw2.94market 34% · model 32%
Gimnasia L.P.4.07market 24.5% · model 22%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Estudiantes L.P. have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gimnasia L.P. have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Estudiantes L.P. wins
4Draws
1Gimnasia L.P. wins
15-10Goals
Gimnasia L.P.
0–1Dec 8, 2025, 8:00 PM
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
2–0Oct 19, 2025, 6:00 PM
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
1–1Apr 13, 2025, 6:30 PM
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
4–1Jul 28, 2024, 6:00 PM
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
2–1Mar 19, 2023, 7:30 PM
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
1–1Jun 5, 2022, 8:00 PM
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
1–1Mar 20, 2022, 7:15 PM
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
4–4Dec 5, 2021, 8:00 PM
Estudiantes L.P.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Estudiantes L.P.2.06▲best 2.12
Draw2.94▼best 3.10
Gimnasia L.P.4.07▼best 4.51

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.60▲best 2.79
Under 2.51.46▼best 1.52

Both teams to score

Yes2.15▼best 2.20
No1.63best 1.67

Double chance

Estudiantes L.P./Draw1.22best 1.26
Estudiantes L.P./Gimnasia L.P.1.36▲best 1.40
Draw/Gimnasia L.P.1.72▼best 1.77

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30▲best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.64▼best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.15▲best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.30▼best 3.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Estudiantes L.P.2.06▲ 0.10
Draw2.94▼ 0.16
Gimnasia L.P.4.07▼ 0.13
12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Estudiantes L.P. win+0.7pp
AI
46%
Market
45.3%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
32%
Market
31.8%
Gimnasia L.P. win-0.9pp
AI
22%
Market
22.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Estudiantes L.P.
16943+1231WLLW
6
Gimnasia L.P.
16826026LWWW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.5
0.9Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Y. Perez

5.33Yellow cards / game
0.33Red cards / game
3Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Estudiantes L.P.

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

Gimnasia L.P.

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
30%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
50%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.?+

Our AI model favors Estudiantes L.P. to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 32%, Gimnasia L.P. 22%).

What time does Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 7:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).