Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano — Primera División

Primera División· Regular Season - 19

Everton de Vina

1–1Full-time

A. Italiano

LLLLWWGoals 10-146th in league

LWWWDDGoals 16-1613th in league

Home4W 4D 3L(16-13)

Away1W 3D 5L(5-13)

Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar · Capacity 23,360 · grass

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

1'Paolo Guajardo
15'Franco Troyansky
15'Franco Troyansky
19'H. Magallanes
25'R. Rebolledo
34'H. Magallanes
34'H. Magallanes
37'F. Mateos
46'Franco Troyansky (Diego Coelho)
46'Óscar Opazo (Valentín Vidal)
46'Paolo Guajardo (Ariel Uribe)
46'Josue Ovalle (Emiliano Ramos)
54'Emiliano Ramos (J. Alfaro)
64'G. Chiaverano (Michael Fuentes)
64'Mario Sandoval (Marco Collao)
73'Nicolás Baeza (G. Charrupi)
76'F. Mateos (D. Pizarro)
80'N. Montiel (Braian Martínez)
87'Enzo Ferrario
87'F. Salomoni
90+2'Marco Collao
90+5'Michael Fuentes
90'J. Alfaro (Vicente Fernández)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Everton de VinaA. Italiano

1.0
Goals/game: 1.6; 1.4
Conceded/game: 1.6

AI match analysis

Everton de Vina win

52.43%

Draw

25.66%

A. Italiano win

21.91%

56.5%BTTS

53.1%Over 2.5

22.3%Everton de Vina clean sheet

27.3%A. Italiano clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The numbers suggest a competitive matchup, with Everton de Vina positioned higher in the league but struggling to score in recent games. A. Italiano has shown better recent form against Everton in their encounters, including a decisive win earlier this season. The typical scoring metrics and home/away records indicate a possibility of a draw, but Everton might leverage home advantage.

Everton de Vina is currently ranked 5th, while A. Italiano is 13th in the league.
A. Italiano has won the last two encounters against Everton de Vina, including a 2-0 victory in their last match.
Everton de Vina has scored only 0.7 goals per game over their last 10, while A. Italiano averages 1.7 goals scored per game.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

89/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Everton de Vina

Higher league positionEverton de Vina
Everton de Vina sit 7 places above A. Italiano in the table.
#6 vs #13
Poor recent formEverton de Vina
Everton de Vina have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Strong recent formA. Italiano
A. Italiano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L
Weak home recordEverton de Vina
Everton de Vina have won 4 of their last 11 home matches.
4/11 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Everton de Vina at 52.43% — final result was a draw, Everton de Vina 1-1 A. Italiano.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (89/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Everton de Vina1.82market 54.9% · model 52.43%

Draw ✓3.49market 28.7% · model 25.66%

A. Italiano4.03market 24.8% · model 21.91%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Everton de Vina have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
A. Italiano have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Everton de Vina wins

2Draws

2A. Italiano wins

9-6Goals

A. Italiano

2–0Nov 21, 2025, 11:00 PM

Everton de Vina

1–1Jun 1, 2025, 12:00 AM

A. Italiano

1–2Aug 29, 2024, 12:30 AM

Everton de Vina

2–0Apr 6, 2024, 11:00 PM

A. Italiano

0–1Aug 13, 2023, 10:00 PM

Everton de Vina

3–1Feb 27, 2023, 11:30 PM

A. Italiano

1–0Aug 13, 2022, 5:15 PM

Everton de Vina

0–0Mar 20, 2022, 11:30 PM

A. Italiano

Odds comparison

Match winner

Everton de Vina1.82▼best 1.98

Draw3.49▲best 3.74

A. Italiano4.03▲best 4.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.90▼best 1.97

Under 2.51.85▲best 1.93

Both teams to score

Yes1.79▲best 1.82

No1.92▼best 1.98

Double chance

Everton de Vina/Draw1.21▼best 1.25

Everton de Vina/A. Italiano1.25▼best 1.30

Draw/A. Italiano1.90▲best 2.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20▼best 1.20

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33▲best 4.33

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Everton de Vina1.82▼ 0.16

Draw3.49▲ 0.20

A. Italiano4.03▲ 0.49

13 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Everton de Vina win+1.8pp

52.43%

Market

50.6%

Draw-0.8pp

25.66%

Market

26.5%

A. Italiano win-1pp

21.91%

Market

22.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.