Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion — Primera División

Primera División· Regular Season - 20

Everton de Vina

3–1Full-time

Universidad de Concepcion

LLLLWDGoals 8-146th in league

LDLDLLGoals 7-1014th in league

Home4W 4D 3L(16-13)

Away1W 3D 6L(8-24)

Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar · Capacity 23,360 · grass

Match events

3'A. Medina (N. Montiel)
10'L. Rojas
23'N. Montiel (Emiliano Ramos)
26'Y. Oyanedel
28'Miguel Barbieri
32'Nicolás Baeza
36'B. Ubal
46'Y. Oyanedel (Moisés González)
46'H. Salgado (Antonio Díaz)
46'B. Ubal (J. Fuentealba)
62'Nicolás Baeza (J. Hernandez)
62'J. Alfaro (Josue Ovalle)
67'T. Roco (Rogelio Funes Mori)
69'Valentín Vidal
75'Cristhofer Mesías
75'Goal Disallowed - video review — Cristhofer Mesías
79'Jorge Espejo (I. Gonzalez)
80'N. Montiel (Cristian Palacios)
80'A. Medina (G. Charrupi)
80'Lucas Soto (G. Charrupi)
89'Cecilio Waterman
90+1'Emiliano Ramos (Vicente Fernández)
90+2'Cristhofer Mesías
90+4'Antonio Díaz

Lineups

Everton de Vina

Universidad de Concepcion

4-2-3-14-1-4-1

Davis GonzalezCoach

Cristian Munoz

Bench (8)

Bench (9)

AI match analysis

Everton de Vina win

50%

Draw

27%

Universidad de Concepcion win

23%

38.6%BTTS

31%Over 2.5

35%Everton de Vina clean sheet

40.7%Universidad de Concepcion clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests that Everton de Vina holds a slight advantage in this matchup, having won two of their last five meetings with Universidad de Concepcion. Meanwhile, Universidad de Concepcion's current form is concerning, as they are on a five-match losing streak. Given Everton's more stable home record and Universidad's struggles away, this match is likely to be closely contested, but favors the home side.

Everton de Vina has won 2 of the last 5 encounters against Universidad de Concepcion.
Universidad de Concepcion is on a five-match losing streak.
Everton de Vina has a slightly better recent home form compared to Universidad de Concepcion's away performance.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Everton de Vina

Historical edgeEverton de Vina
Everton de Vina have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins
Higher league positionEverton de Vina
Everton de Vina sit 8 places above Universidad de Concepcion in the table.
#6 vs #14
Poor recent formEverton de Vina
Everton de Vina have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Poor recent formUniversidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Concepcion have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Everton de Vina at 50% — final result was Everton de Vina win, Everton de Vina 3-1 Universidad de Concepcion.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Everton de Vina ✓1.83market 54.6% · model 50%

Draw3.51market 28.5% · model 27%

Universidad de Concepcion3.98market 25.1% · model 23%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Everton de Vina have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Universidad de Concepcion have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Everton de Vina wins

2Draws

1Universidad de Concepcion wins

4-3Goals

Universidad de Concepcion

0–0Dec 28, 2020, 10:30 PM

Everton de Vina

2–1Jan 24, 2020, 9:30 PM

Universidad de Concepcion

Everton de Vina

1–0Sep 27, 2019, 11:30 PM

Universidad de Concepcion

0–0Feb 17, 2019, 12:00 AM

Everton de Vina

1–0Aug 11, 2018, 12:00 AM

Universidad de Concepcion

2–0Apr 21, 2018, 11:00 PM

Everton de Vina

Odds comparison

Match winner

Everton de Vina1.83▲best 1.95

Draw3.51▼best 3.80

Universidad de Concepcion3.98▼best 4.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.83▲best 1.90

Under 2.51.93▼best 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.73▼best 1.83

No1.97▲best 2.07

Double chance

Everton de Vina/Draw1.21▲best 1.27

Everton de Vina/Universidad de Concepcion1.25▲best 1.30

Draw/Universidad de Concepcion1.90▼best 2.05

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44▼best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62▲best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18▲best 1.18

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▼best 4.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Everton de Vina1.83▲ 0.16

Draw3.51▼ 0.19

Universidad de Concepcion3.98▼ 0.41

21 Aug – 24 Aug

Model vs market

Everton de Vina win-0.4pp

AI

50%

Market

50.4%

Draw+0.6pp

AI

27%

Market

26.4%

Universidad de Concepcion win-0.2pp

AI

23%

Market

23.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.