FAS vs Águila

Primera Division· Apertura - 6
FAS
10Full-time
Águila
WLDLGoals 14-104th in league
WLLLGoals 10-1411th in league
Home2W 1D 0L(5-2)
Away0W 2D 2L(3-5)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FASÁguila
1.4
Goals/game
1.0
1.0
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

FAS win
43%
Draw
30%
Águila win
27%
47.6%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
36.8%FAS clean sheet
24.7%Águila clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a favorable matchup for FAS, who have consistently outperformed Águila in their recent encounters, including a solid 3-0 victory in their last meeting. Águila's poor away form and recent losses further complicate their chances, while FAS plays at home and holds a superior position in the league standings. The statistics favor a home win with a predicted score of 2-1.

  • FAS has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings against Águila by a score of 3-0.
  • Águila has lost their last 3 matches and struggles with away form (0 wins in 3 away games).
  • FAS has only one loss at home this season and a positive goal difference of +3.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FAS

  • Strong home recordFAS

    FAS have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordÁguila

    Águila have won 0 of their last 4 away matches.

    0/4 away wins
  • Poor recent formÁguila

    Águila have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Sharper attackFAS

    FAS are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FAS at 43% — final result was FAS win, FAS 1-0 Águila.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FAS2.08market 48% · model 43%
Draw3.15market 31.8% · model 30%
Águila3.24market 30.8% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FAS have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Águila have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4FAS wins
2Draws
2Águila wins
11-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FAS2.08best 2.17
Draw3.15best 3.40
Águila3.24best 3.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.94best 2.08
Under 2.51.75best 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.74best 1.85
No1.90best 1.97

Double chance

FAS/Draw1.27best 1.30
FAS/Águila1.26best 1.35
Draw/Águila1.65best 1.83

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FAS2.08 0.01
Draw3.15 0.05
Águila3.24 0.08
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

FAS win-0.4pp
AI
43%
Market
43.4%
Draw+1.3pp
AI
30%
Market
28.7%
Águila win-0.9pp
AI
27%
Market
27.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
FAS
6312+410LDWL
11
Águila
6033-43LLDD

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1
1Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

FAS

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
44.4%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
22.2%
76-90+'
11.1%

Águila

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Primera Division predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FAS vs Águila?+

Our AI model favors FAS to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 30%, Águila 27%).

What time does FAS vs Águila kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).