FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

Segunda División· Regular Season - 1

FC Andorra

5–1Full-time

AD Ceuta FC

WWLLLLGoals 20-138th in league

LDLWWLGoals 9-1322nd in league

Home1W 0D 0L(5-1)

Away0W 0D 1L(1-5)

Match events

33'Jordi Cano (T. Carrique)
49'Hugo Solozábal
52'Marc Domènech
62'T. Carrique (Jordi Cano)
67'Stefan Golubovic
67'S. Golubovic
67'Yann Bodiger (Kialy Abdoul Kone)
68'S. Golubovic (Nacho Quintana)
68'Kuki Zalazar (Alejandro Meléndez)
69'Nacho Quintana
69'A. Camacho (Jordi Escobar)
74'Marc Domènech (Sergio Molina)
74'Jordi Cano (Álex Calvo)
78'Marino Illescas (Kenneth Mamah)
78'Cedric Teguia (Gabriel Okoro)
82'Diego Alende (L. Spatz)
82'Martí Vilà (Andoni López)
84'Nacho Quintana (Álex Calvo)
87'Jordi Escobar (Kialy Abdoul Kone)
90+1'Kenneth Mamah
90+3'Álex Calvo (Efe Akman)

Lineups

FC Andorra

AD Ceuta FC

4-3-3

Carles MansoCoach

Jose Romero

AI match analysis

FC Andorra win

33%

Draw

21%

AD Ceuta FC win

46%

53.9%BTTS

51.9%Over 2.5

33.3%FC Andorra clean sheet

19.2%AD Ceuta FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests AD Ceuta FC holds a favorable position going into this matchup, having won both of their most recent encounters with FC Andorra. Historically, FC Andorra has struggled, losing a significant portion of their last matches, while AD Ceuta FC recently won a vital away game. The numbers favor an away victory, despite early-season uncertainty for both teams.

AD Ceuta FC won the last 2 meetings against FC Andorra
FC Andorra has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
AD Ceuta FC has a recent away win against FC Andorra

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

67/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors AD Ceuta FC

Historical edgeAD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
2/2 H2H wins
Poor recent formFC Andorra
FC Andorra have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Sharper attackFC Andorra
FC Andorra are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game
Higher league positionFC Andorra
FC Andorra sit 14 places above AD Ceuta FC in the table.
#8 vs #22

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked AD Ceuta FC at 46% — final result was FC Andorra win, FC Andorra 5-1 AD Ceuta FC.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Andorra ✓1.61market 62% · model 33%

Draw3.87market 25.9% · model 21%

AD Ceuta FC5.18market 19.3% · model 46%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

FC Andorra have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
AD Ceuta FC have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0FC Andorra wins

0Draws

2AD Ceuta FC wins

1-4Goals

FC Andorra

0–2May 24, 2026, 2:15 PM

AD Ceuta FC

2–1Jan 4, 2026, 3:15 PM

FC Andorra

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Andorra1.61best 1.70

Draw3.87best 4.17

AD Ceuta FC5.18best 5.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.82best 1.90

Under 2.51.96best 2.09

Both teams to score

Yes1.78best 1.85

No1.92best 1.98

Double chance

FC Andorra/Draw1.15best 1.18

FC Andorra/AD Ceuta FC1.22best 1.25

Draw/AD Ceuta FC2.24best 2.35

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Andorra1.61▼ 0.01

Draw3.87▲ 0.05

AD Ceuta FC5.18▲ 0.13

15 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

FC Andorra win-24.8pp

AI

33%

Market

57.8%

Draw-3.1pp

AI

21%

Market

24.1%

AD Ceuta FC win+28pp

AI

46%

Market

18%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
8	FC Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	3	LW
22	AD Ceuta FC	2	0	0	2	-6	0	LL

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game0.9

1.3Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

FC Andorra

0-15'

0%

16-30'

0%

31-45'

0%

46-60'

66.7%

61-75'

33.3%

76-90+'

0%

Match statistics

63%Possession37%

4.64Expected goals (xG)1.88

11Shots on target1

25Total shots5

13Shots off target3

1Blocked shots1

18Shots inside the box4

7Shots outside the box1

2Corners2

2Offsides1

22Fouls8

3Yellow cards1

—Red cards—

0Goalkeeper saves6

514Total passes296

448Accurate passes210

87%Pass accuracy71%

Player ratings

1Nacho QuintanaFC Andorra⚽ 29.2
2Álex CalvoFC Andorra⚽ 1🅰️ 18.7
3Jordi CanoFC Andorra⚽ 1🅰️ 18.5
4T. CarriqueFC Andorra⚽ 1🅰️ 18.5
5Martí VilàFC Andorra7.5
6Diego AlendeFC Andorra7.3

Box score

FC Andorra

13

13Pau LópezG · 90'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes46%

Tackles—

Duels—

23

23Diego AlendeD · 82'

7.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes67%

Tackles1

Duels62%

15Jordi CanoF · 74'

⚽ 1🅰️ 18.5

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes13%

Tackles—

Duels50%

6

6Hugo SolozábalM · 90'

🟨6.3

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes21%

Tackles—

Duels11%

17

17T. CarriqueD · 90'

⚽ 1🅰️ 18.5

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes29%

Tackles2

Duels30%

10

10Marc DomènechM · 74'

🟨6.9

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes51%

Tackles—

Duels40%

27

27S. Golubovic—

—

20

20Martí Vilà (C)D · 82'

7.5

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes35%

Tackles1

Duels67%

8Efe AkmanM · 90'

🅰️ 17.2

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes42%

Tackles1

Duels38%

5

5Marc BombardóD · 90'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes78%

Tackles1

Duels40%

29Hugo LópezF · 90'

7.2

More stats

Shots2/3 on target

Passes25%

Tackles2

Duels30%

Bench (10)

3

3L. SpatzD · 8'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes4%

Tackles1

Duels100%

7

7Álex CalvoF · 16'

⚽ 1🅰️ 18.7

More stats

Shots2/4 on target

Passes4%

Tackles—

Duels67%

14

14Sergio MolinaM · 16'

6.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes13%

Tackles—

Duels0%

1

1N. RattiG

—

19

19Nacho QuintanaM · 22'

⚽ 29.2

More stats

Shots2/2 on target

Passes8%

Tackles—

Duels0%

18

18Andoni LópezD · 8'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels—

31Jan LagunasG

—

2Juan Sebastian SerranoD

—

28Tiago OlmedoM

—

22Aitor UzkudunF

—

AD Ceuta FC

8Kuki ZalazarM · 67'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes15%

Tackles1

Duels57%

23AnuarD · 90'

5.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes11%

Tackles—

Duels50%

3MatosD · 90'

5.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes14%

Tackles1

Duels33%

14Yann BodigerM · 67'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes19%

Tackles3

Duels100%

6Carlos (C)D · 90'

5.6

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes21%

Tackles1

Duels75%

29Omar SadikF · 90'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes14%

Tackles—

Duels56%

13Guillermo Vallejo DelgadoG · 90'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes22%

Tackles—

Duels0%

11Cedric TeguiaF · 78'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels0%

7

7A. Camacho—

—

10Marino IllescasM · 78'

6.9

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes24%

Tackles2

Duels77%

34Daniel Mas SoriaD · 90'

5.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes23%

Tackles1

Duels67%

Bench (11)

18

18Álex PetxaD

—

20Alejandro MeléndezM · 23'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes11%

Tackles3

Duels100%

22Kialy Abdoul KoneF · 23'

🅰️ 16.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes6%

Tackles—

Duels75%

9Jordi EscobarF · 23'

⚽ 17.3

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes—

Tackles—

Duels0%

32Gabriel OkoroM · 12'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels0%

21Kenneth MamahM · 12'

🟨6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes2%

Tackles1

Duels50%

16RedruD

—

1Pedro LópezG

—

31Adrián RomeroM

—

24

24V. Herranz Corral—

—

36JosemiD

—

More Segunda División predictions

Segunda División

Aug 28, 2026, 7:00 PM0d 0h 0m 0s

Aug 29, 2026, 3:00 PM0d 0h 0m 0s

Aug 29, 2026, 5:00 PM0d 0h 0m 0s

Aug 29, 2026, 5:00 PM0d 0h 0m 0s

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC?+

Our AI model favors AD Ceuta FC to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 21%, FC Andorra 33%).

What time does FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

Value found

Match events

Lineups

AI match analysis

Why AI favors AD Ceuta FC

What could change the prediction

How did our prediction do?

Closing odds vs. our model

Match trends

Head-to-head

Odds comparison

Match winner

Total goals (2.5 line)

Both teams to score

Double chance

Clean sheet

Match winner — odds movement

Model vs market

League standings

Pre-match comparison

When do they score?

Match statistics

Player ratings

Box score

FC Andorra

AD Ceuta FC

More Segunda División predictions

Frequently asked questions