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FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC

Superliga· Regular Season - 5
FC Midtjylland
1–0Full-time
Randers FC
WDWWGoals 18-114th in league
LWLWGoals 13-209th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(3-1)
Away0W 0D 2L(0-2)
MCH Arena

MCH Arena, Herning · Capacity 12,152 · grass · Referee: J. Maae

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'Darío Osorio
  2. 40'M. Jensen
  3. 46'J. Storch (P. Izzo)
  4. 46'Philip Billing (Denil Castillo)
  5. 54'S. Iheanacho (Friday Etim)
  6. 54'K. Watjen (Valdemar Byskov)
  7. 56'L. Pedersen
  8. 60'M. Jensen (M. Erlic)
  9. 62'K. Junker (M. Sankoh)
  10. 75'Elies Mahmoud
  11. 78'Martin André Sjølstad (F. Sommer)
  12. 78'Martin André Sjølstad (C. Edudzi)
  13. 78'S. Hansen (F. Sommer)
  14. 79'S. Hansen (C. Edudzi)
  15. 84'Elies Mahmoud (Musa Toure)
  16. 84'S. Johannesen (D. Beni)

Lineups

FC Midtjylland
Randers FC
3-5-25-4-1
1. Elías Ólafsson
22. Mads Bech Sørensen
3
← 60'
3. M. Jensen
← 46'
8. Philip Billing
27
← 84'
27. S. Johannesen
29
← 54'
29. K. Watjen
19. Pedro Bravo
5. Rasmus Kristensen
11. Darío Osorio
10
10. Cho Gue-Sung
18
← 54'
18. S. Iheanacho
77
← 62'
77. K. Junker
17
17. M. Greve
7
7. Mike Themsen
8
8. L. Pedersen
← 84'
11. Elies Mahmoud
44
44. Nikolas Dyhr
4. Wessel Dammers
← 78'
15. Martin André Sjølstad
3
3. D. Høegh
24
← 79'
24. S. Hansen
32
← 46'
32. J. Storch
Mike TullbergCoachRasmus Bertelsen
Bench (9)
Bench (9)
FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
1.8
Goals/game
1.3
1.1
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

FC Midtjylland win
66%
Draw
20%
Randers FC win
14%
59.4%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
30.1%FC Midtjylland clean sheet
15%Randers FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a strong advantage for FC Midtjylland, particularly given their unbeaten home record against Randers FC in their last five meetings. Additionally, Randers FC has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in recent outings. With FC Midtjylland's solid form and home advantage, the numbers lean towards a likely victory for the home side.

  • FC Midtjylland unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Randers FC
  • Randers FC has conceded an average of 2 goals per game over their last 10 matches
  • FC Midtjylland's recent form includes 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Midtjylland

  • Strong home recordFC Midtjylland

    FC Midtjylland have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.

    2/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordRanders FC

    Randers FC have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Historical edgeFC Midtjylland

    FC Midtjylland have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Good recent formFC Midtjylland

    FC Midtjylland have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC Midtjylland at 66% — final result was FC Midtjylland win, FC Midtjylland 1-0 Randers FC.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Midtjylland ✓1.43market 69.9% · model 66%
Draw4.61market 21.7% · model 20%
Randers FC6.42market 15.6% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Midtjylland have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Randers FC have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5FC Midtjylland wins
3Draws
0Randers FC wins
14-7Goals
Randers FC
0–2Nov 9, 2025, 3:00 PM
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
2–1Sep 29, 2025, 5:00 PM
Randers FC
Randers FC
0–1Mar 11, 2024, 6:00 PM
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
2–2Oct 8, 2023, 4:00 PM
Randers FC
Randers FC
0–0Nov 13, 2022, 7:00 PM
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
1–1Jul 15, 2022, 5:00 PM
Randers FC
FC Midtjylland
3–2May 22, 2022, 3:00 PM
Randers FC
Randers FC
1–3Apr 13, 2022, 4:30 PM
FC Midtjylland

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Midtjylland1.43▼best 1.48
Draw4.61▲best 4.90
Randers FC6.42▲best 7.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.55▼best 1.62
Under 2.52.37▲best 2.55

Both teams to score

Yes1.70▼best 1.80
No2.05▲best 2.15

Double chance

FC Midtjylland/Draw1.11▼best 1.13
FC Midtjylland/Randers FC1.17▼best 1.20
Draw/Randers FC2.70▲best 2.88

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.07▼best 1.07
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.53▼best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes9.00▲best 9.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.38▲best 2.38

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Midtjylland1.43▼ 0.03
Draw4.61▲ 0.26
Randers FC6.42▲ 0.51
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

FC Midtjylland win+0.8pp
AI
66%
Market
65.2%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
20%
Market
20.2%
Randers FC win-0.5pp
AI
14%
Market
14.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
FC Midtjylland
4310+310WDWW
9
Randers FC
5113-44LWLD

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Maae

2.83Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.17Penalties scored / game

Based on 12 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FC Midtjylland

0-15'
0%
16-30'
30%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

Randers FC

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
16.7%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC?+

Our AI model favors FC Midtjylland to win, with a 66% probability (Draw 20%, Randers FC 14%).

Where is FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC played?+

The match is played at MCH Arena, Herning (capacity 12,152).

What time does FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).