FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
FC Saarbrücken
11After Penalties
Hertha BSC
LLWWGoals 17-13
WLWWGoals 31-15
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 60'A. Staff (K. Brunker)
  2. 60'D. Gleiber (S. Vasiliadis)
  3. 64'N. Kolbe (M. Dardai)
  4. 65'K. Brunker
  5. 65'L. Gechter
  6. 69'P. Seguin
  7. 73'S. Grønning (L. Schuler)
  8. 73'S. Gouram (O. Adewumi)
  9. 74'A. Nankishi (K. Owusu)
  10. 84'Christian Kühlwetter (A. Kamara)
  11. 84'N. Bretschneider (C. Rizzuto)
  12. 86'J. Thorsteinsson (F. Alfa-Ruprecht)
  13. 87'P. Seguin (P. Klemens)
  14. 90+2'P. Fahrner
  15. 98'O. Adewumi
  16. 117'Kevin Sessa
  17. 118'S. Vasiliadis
  18. 120+1'M. Cvjetinovic
  19. 120+1'Josip Brekalo
  20. 120+2'Florian Pick
  21. 120+2'L. Gechter
  22. 120+3'C. Rizzuto
  23. 120+3'L. Schuler
  24. 120+4'Kevin Sessa

Lineups

FC SaarbrückenHertha BSC
1.7
Goals/game
3.1
1.3
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

FC Saarbrücken win
29%
Draw
26%
Hertha BSC win
45%
71%BTTS
73.1%Over 2.5
11.1%FC Saarbrücken clean sheet
20.2%Hertha BSC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Hertha BSC has a strong attacking form, averaging 2.7 goals across their last ten matches, which could pose challenges for the FC Saarbrücken defense. While Saarbrücken has shown resilience at home, their overall scoring rate is lower, averaging 1.7 goals per game. Historically, this matchup features Hertha favored to win, bolstered by their recent away performance.

  • Hertha BSC averaging 2.7 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • FC Saarbrücken unbeaten in last 3 home games
  • Hertha BSC has scored in every match of their last 5 games
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
60/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hertha BSC

  • Sharper attackHertha BSC

    Hertha BSC are averaging 3.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    3.1/game
  • Good recent formFC Saarbrücken

    FC Saarbrücken have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formHertha BSC

    Hertha BSC have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Hertha BSC at 45% — final result was a draw, FC Saarbrücken 1-1 Hertha BSC.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hertha BSC2.16market 46.3% · model 45%
FC Saarbrücken3.07market 32.6% · model 29%
Draw3.52market 28.4% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Saarbrücken have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hertha BSC have averaged 3.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Saarbrücken3.07best 3.35
Draw3.52best 3.75
Hertha BSC2.16best 2.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.56best 1.61
Under 2.52.32best 2.38

Both teams to score

Yes1.48best 1.50
No2.47best 2.50

Double chance

FC Saarbrücken/Draw1.67best 1.73
FC Saarbrücken/Hertha BSC1.26best 1.30
Draw/Hertha BSC1.34best 1.39

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Saarbrücken3.07 0.26
Draw3.52 0.11
Hertha BSC2.16 0.21
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

FC Saarbrücken win-1.4pp
AI
29%
Market
30.4%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
26%
Market
26.5%
Hertha BSC win+1.9pp
AI
45%
Market
43.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game3.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

B. Brand

5.38Yellow cards / game
0.25Red cards / game
0.63Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Hertha BSC

0-15'
10%
16-30'
10%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
20%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?+

Our AI model favors Hertha BSC to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 26%, FC Saarbrücken 29%).

What time does FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).