FC Sion vs Ajax

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
FC Sion
24Full-time
Ajax
WWWLGoals 29-14
WDDWGoals 19-22
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 30'Baltazar Costa
  2. 34'Franck Surdez (Ali Kabacalman)
  3. 36'Youri Regeer
  4. 46'Youri Regeer (J. Mokio)
  5. 53'Julian Brandt
  6. 60'Marcos Leonardo (Anton Gaaei)
  7. 69'J. Mokio
  8. 72'Ylyas Chouaref
  9. 74'T. Arokodare
  10. 74'Oscar Gloukh (A. Ouazane)
  11. 74'Marcos Leonardo (T. Arokodare)
  12. 75'Caio Henrique (Owen Wijndal)
  13. 76'Rilind Nivokazi (F. Sylla)
  14. 76'Franck Surdez (Donat Rrudhani)
  15. 77'Anton Gaaei
  16. 78'Anton Gaaei (Lucas Rosa)
  17. 82'Baltazar Costa (Josias Lukembila)
  18. 82'Winsley Boteli (Théo Berdayes)
  19. 85'Ylyas Chouaref (Benjamin Kololli)
  20. 87'Davy Klaassen (T. Arokodare)
  21. 90+5'Owen Wijndal
  22. 90+5'Lucas Rosa
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FC SionAjax
2.9
Goals/game
1.9
1.4
Conceded/game
2.2

AI match analysis

FC Sion win
25%
Draw
22%
Ajax win
53%
74.5%BTTS
79%Over 2.5
19.2%FC Sion clean sheet
7.8%Ajax clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-3

Data suggests that FC Sion has been prolific in attack, averaging 3 goals per match recently, while Ajax has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.3 goals. Historically, Ajax appears to have stronger away performances, including a recent win against Villarreal. The numbers favor Ajax to secure a victory, but with Sion's offensive capabilities, a high-scoring match is anticipated.

  • FC Sion scoring an average of 3 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Ajax has conceded an average of 2.3 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Sion's recent form includes three wins in their last five matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Ajax

  • Sharper attackFC Sion

    FC Sion are averaging 2.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.9/game
  • Tighter defenseFC Sion

    FC Sion are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded
  • Good recent formFC Sion

    FC Sion have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Ajax at 53% — final result was Ajax win, FC Sion 2-4 Ajax.

Predicted score was 2-3.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Ajax1.80market 55.6% · model 53%
FC Sion3.73market 26.8% · model 25%
Draw4.00market 25% · model 22%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Sion have averaged 2.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Ajax have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FC Sion wins
0Draws
1Ajax wins
3-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Sion3.73best 4.10
Draw4.00best 4.33
Ajax1.80best 1.93

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.55best 1.62
Under 2.52.36best 2.47

Both teams to score

Yes1.54best 1.67
No2.33best 2.45

Double chance

FC Sion/Draw1.97best 2.10
FC Sion/Ajax1.21best 1.24
Draw/Ajax1.24best 1.31

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Sion3.73 0.41
Draw4.00 0.06
Ajax1.80 0.13
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

FC Sion win0pp
AI
25%
Market
25%
Draw-1.3pp
AI
22%
Market
23.3%
Ajax win+1.2pp
AI
53%
Market
51.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.9Goals scored per game1.9
1.4Goals conceded per game2.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Al-Hakim

5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FC Sion

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
37.5%

Ajax

0-15'
15.4%
16-30'
7.7%
31-45'
38.5%
46-60'
15.4%
61-75'
7.7%
76-90+'
15.4%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Sion vs Ajax?+

Our AI model favors Ajax to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 22%, FC Sion 25%).

What time does FC Sion vs Ajax kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).