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FC Viktoria Köln vs 1. FC Nürnberg

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
FC Viktoria Köln
1–1After Penalties
1. FC Nürnberg
WLLWGoals 15-27
WLWWGoals 23-12
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'J. Fernandez
  2. 46'Y. Tonye (A. Prokopenko)
  3. 56'R. Lubach (A. Markhiev)
  4. 57'N. H. Castelle (N. Maboulou)
  5. 58'L. M. Wolf
  6. 67'T. Janisch (G. Masouras)
  7. 67'M. A. Zoma (C. Y. Moustfa)
  8. 74'L. M. Wolf (N. Jahn)
  9. 74'Taylan Duman (P. Fallmann)
  10. 74'N. Swider (N. Jahn)
  11. 78'R. Lubach (T. Hess)
  12. 78'P. Scobel (A. Grimaldi)
  13. 87'David Otto (J. Sachse)
  14. 90+4'A. Kalogeropoulos (K. Mandic)
  15. 90+6'M. Sponsel (P. Fallmann)
  16. 91'J. Sachse
  17. 96'N. Jahn
  18. 102'A. Markhiev
  19. 120+1'Julian Justvan
  20. 120+1'J. Sachse
  21. 120+2'K. Mandic
  22. 120+2'A. Prokopenko
  23. 120+3'A. Markhiev
  24. 120+3'P. Fallmann
  25. 120+4'G. Masouras
  26. 120+4'T. Eisenhuth
  27. 120+5'J. Fernandez
  28. 120+5'N. Swider
  29. 120+6'F. Otto
  30. 120+6'N. Maboulou
  31. 120+7'C. Y. Moustfa
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FC Viktoria Köln1. FC Nürnberg
1.7
Goals/game
2.3
3.0
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

FC Viktoria Köln win
21%
Draw
23%
1. FC Nürnberg win
56%
70.8%BTTS
77.4%Over 2.5
7.1%FC Viktoria Köln clean sheet
23.9%1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-3

The data suggests a competitive match, although 1. FC Nürnberg appears to be in better form, having scored significantly more goals in recent outings compared to FC Viktoria Köln's defensive struggles. Historically, FC Viktoria Köln has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 3 goals per game in their last 9 matches. Given these trends and the recent head-to-head result, a narrow win for the away team is anticipated.

  • 1. FC Nürnberg has scored an average of 2.3 goals in their last 10 matches.
  • FC Viktoria Köln has conceded an average of 3 goals in their last 9 matches.
  • Last head-to-head match ended in a 2-2 draw.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors 1. FC Nürnberg

  • Tighter defense1. FC Nürnberg

    1. FC Nürnberg are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded
  • Sharper attack1. FC Nürnberg

    1. FC Nürnberg are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game
  • Poor recent formFC Viktoria Köln

    FC Viktoria Köln have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent form1. FC Nürnberg

    1. FC Nürnberg have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked 1. FC Nürnberg at 56% — final result was a draw, FC Viktoria Köln 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg.

Predicted score was 2-3.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

1. FC Nürnberg1.66market 60.3% · model 56%
Draw ✓4.10market 24.4% · model 23%
FC Viktoria Köln4.45market 22.5% · model 21%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Viktoria Köln have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 9 matches.
  • 1. FC Nürnberg have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FC Viktoria Köln wins
1Draws
01. FC Nürnberg wins
2-2Goals
FC Viktoria Köln
2–2Aug 20, 2016, 1:30 PM
1. FC Nürnberg

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Viktoria Köln4.45▲best 4.85
Draw4.10▲best 4.30
1. FC Nürnberg1.66▼best 1.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.46best 1.50
Under 2.52.53▼best 2.63

Both teams to score

Yes1.49▲best 1.53
No2.42▼best 2.50

Double chance

FC Viktoria Köln/Draw2.13▲best 2.25
FC Viktoria Köln/1. FC Nürnberg1.20▼best 1.23
Draw/1. FC Nürnberg1.18▼best 1.22

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36▲best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00▼best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.08▼best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes8.00▲best 8.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Viktoria Köln4.45▲ 0.30
Draw4.10▲ 0.10
1. FC Nürnberg1.66
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

FC Viktoria Köln win+0.1pp
AI
21%
Market
20.9%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
23%
Market
22.8%
1. FC Nürnberg win-0.3pp
AI
56%
Market
56.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.67Goals scored per game2.3
3Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 9 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

FC Viktoria Köln

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

1. FC Nürnberg

0-15'
0%
16-30'
10%
31-45'
10%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
60%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Viktoria Köln vs 1. FC Nürnberg?+

Our AI model favors 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 23%, FC Viktoria Köln 21%).

What time does FC Viktoria Köln vs 1. FC Nürnberg kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).