FCSB vs FC Botosani — Liga I

Liga I· Regular Season - 5

FCSB

3–2Full-time

FC Botosani

WWWWDLGoals 16-112nd in league

LWLDWWGoals 14-1513th in league

Home2W 1D 0L(7-4)

Away0W 1D 2L(5-7)

Match events

10'João Paulo Fernandes (Y. Cisotti)
18'João Paulo Fernandes
36'A. Dumiter (Enriko Papa)
46'J. Dawa (V. Crețu)
54'Hervin Ongenda (L. De Vega)
55'Mamadou Diarra
62'A. Dumiter
63'D. Birligea (Y. Cisotti)
65'R. Radunović (O. Arad)
65'S. Mailat (M. Kovtalyuk)
72'Aymen Boutoutaou (D. Miculescu)
72'João Paulo Fernandes (E. Gnahoré)
73'A. Miron (R. Sadiku)
83'Y. Cisotti (Octavian Popescu)
88'G. Anestis
90+4'D. Birligea
90+6'D. Birligea (Octavian Popescu)
90'J. Petro

Lineups

FCSB

FC Botosani

3-4-34-3-3

Marius BaciuCoach

Marius Croitoru

AI match analysis

FCSB win

64.61%

Draw

20.29%

FC Botosani win

15.1%

56.2%BTTS

53.1%Over 2.5

28.7%FCSB clean sheet

21.2%FC Botosani clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a favorable matchup for FCSB, who are currently in good form and have a strong head-to-head record against FC Botosani. While FCSB averages 1.8 goals scored per game, FC Botosani has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 goals in their last 10 matches. With FCSB's recent performances and home advantage, they are likely to secure a win, predicted to finish 2-1.

FCSB's recent form includes 3 wins in last 5 matches.
FC Botosani has only 1 point from 4 matches this season.
Historically, FCSB has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against FC Botosani.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FCSB

Strong home recordFCSB
FCSB have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins
Weak away recordFC Botosani
FC Botosani have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins
Higher league positionFCSB
FCSB sit 11 places above FC Botosani in the table.
#2 vs #13
Sharper attackFCSB
FCSB are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FCSB at 64.61% — final result was FCSB win, FCSB 3-2 FC Botosani.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FCSB ✓1.46market 68.3% · model 64.61%

Draw4.31market 23.2% · model 20.29%

FC Botosani5.74market 17.4% · model 15.1%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

FCSB have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
FC Botosani have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5FCSB wins

0Draws

3FC Botosani wins

15-14Goals

FCSB

4–3May 24, 2026, 5:30 PM

FC Botosani

3–2Apr 3, 2026, 5:30 PM

FCSB

2–1Feb 5, 2026, 6:30 PM

FC Botosani

3–1Sep 19, 2025, 5:30 PM

FCSB

2–1Dec 8, 2024, 6:30 PM

FC Botosani

1–0Nov 21, 2024, 6:00 PM

FCSB

3–2Feb 25, 2024, 6:00 PM

FC Botosani

0–1Oct 7, 2023, 6:30 PM

FCSB

Odds comparison

Match winner

FCSB1.46▼best 1.51

Draw4.31▲best 4.65

FC Botosani5.74▼best 6.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.55▼best 1.60

Under 2.52.35▲best 2.44

Both teams to score

Yes1.65▼best 1.72

No2.10▲best 2.20

Double chance

FCSB/Draw1.11▲best 1.14

FCSB/FC Botosani1.17▼best 1.20

Draw/FC Botosani2.49▲best 2.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50▲best 2.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50▼best 1.50

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00▲best 8.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08▼best 1.08

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FCSB1.46▼ 0.06

Draw4.31▲ 0.31

FC Botosani5.74▲ 0.14

14 Aug – 17 Aug

Model vs market

FCSB win+1.9pp

AI

64.61%

Market

62.7%

Draw-1pp

AI

20.29%

Market

21.3%

FC Botosani win-0.9pp

AI

15.1%

Market

16%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.